Race Card Explorer BETA

15:38 Ayr 29 Sep 2026 Autumn Breaks At Western House Hotel Handicap Stakes

  • 10 Runners
  • Class 4 Class
  • 0m7f50y Trip
  • Heavy Going
Racecard
1

Misunderstood

Daniel Tudhope David O'Meara

81SR 84RPR 81OR 10/3Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 50 · Field avg 45 +5

Going Record

on Heavy
60%
✓ Proven

1 win, 2 placed · 5 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 28% -28

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Daniel Tudhope 359 wins from 1964 rides 18 WIN %
  • David O'Meara 381 wins from 2946 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 147 wins from 917 together 16WIN %
2

Count Palatine

Sean Kirrane Michael Dods

75SR 80RPR 81OR 17/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-25 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 45 -8

Going Record

on Heavy
14%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 0 placed · 7 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 28% -28

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Sean Kirrane 131 wins from 1205 rides 11 WIN %
  • Michael Dods 203 wins from 1722 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 23 wins from 178 together 13WIN %
3

Quest For Fun

David Allan Tim Easterby

82SR 85RPR 77OR 7/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-12 pts trend
→ Steady 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 51 · Field avg 45 +6

Going Record

on Heavy
50%
✓ Proven

1 win, 5 placed · 12 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 28% +22

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • David Allan 283 wins from 2228 rides 13 WIN %
  • Tim Easterby 504 wins from 4728 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 241 wins from 1866 together 13WIN %
4

Homestrait

Tom Kiely-Marshall(3) Brian Ellison

80SR 77RPR 79OR 11/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-28 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 56 · Field avg 45 +11

Going Record

on Heavy
50%
✓ Proven

1 win, 1 placed · 4 runs

This runner 67% · Field avg 28% +39

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Tom Kiely-Marshall 51 wins from 549 rides 9 WIN %
  • Brian Ellison 129 wins from 1241 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 23 together 4WIN %
5

Abduction

Jake Dickson(5) Jim Goldie

75SR 79RPR 74OR 10/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-20 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 52 · Field avg 45 +7

Going Record

on Heavy
31%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 4 placed · 13 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 28% +5

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Jake Dickson 31 wins from 252 rides 12 WIN %
  • Jim Goldie 289 wins from 2088 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 16 together 0WIN %
6

Tip Foster

David Nolan David & Nicola Barron

52SR 75RPR 75OR 25/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
-62 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 49 · Field avg 45 +4

Going Record

on Heavy
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 2 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 28% -28

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • David Nolan 173 wins from 1484 rides 12 WIN %
  • David & Nicola Barron 58 wins from 555 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 33 together 6WIN %
7

Stanage

Joanna Mason Michael & David Easterby

68SR 83RPR 71OR 12/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Improver backed Form trend up, money following. The dark-horse profile — bottom-up improver the market has spotted before the ratings catch up. form_trajectorymarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+37 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 45 -2

Going Record

on Heavy
60%
✓ Proven

1 win, 2 placed · 5 runs

This runner 67% · Field avg 28% +39

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Joanna Mason 209 wins from 1736 rides 12 WIN %
  • Michael & David Easterby 180 wins from 1777 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 75 wins from 662 together 11WIN %
8

Wobwobwob

M. P. Sheehy Adrian Keatley

61SR 74RPR 70OR 12/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 45 -20

Going Record

on Heavy
25%
✗ Avoid

2 wins, 4 placed · 24 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 28% +5

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • M. P. Sheehy 33 wins from 436 rides 8 WIN %
  • Adrian Keatley 116 wins from 767 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 13 wins from 107 together 12WIN %
9

One Night Thunder

Connor Beasley Gemma Tutty

71SR 78RPR 70OR 13/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+37 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 45 -2

Going Record

on Heavy
29%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 1 placed · 7 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 28% +5

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Connor Beasley 232 wins from 1731 rides 13 WIN %
  • Gemma Tutty 64 wins from 602 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 8 wins from 91 together 9WIN %
10

Circle of Trust

Kevin Stott Kevin Ryan

57SR 68RPR 68OR 16/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+10 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 45 · Field avg 45 0

Going Record

on Heavy
50%
✓ Proven

1 win, 0 placed · 2 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 28% -28

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Kevin Stott 178 wins from 1210 rides 15 WIN %
  • Kevin Ryan 214 wins from 1730 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 46 wins from 353 together 13WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
4 Steamers
5 Drifters
1 Flat