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17:30 Kempton (AW) 23 Sep 2026 Racing Tv Fillies' Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier)

  • 10 Runners
  • Class 5 Class
  • 1m Trip
  • Good to Soft Going
Racecard
1

Freda

Ashley Lewis(3) Pat Phelan

78SR 82RPR 70OR 7/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-20 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 40 · Field avg 45 -5

Going Record

on Good to Soft
60%
✓ Proven

1 win, 2 placed · 5 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 26% +7

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Ashley Lewis 73 wins from 535 rides 14 WIN %
  • Pat Phelan 20 wins from 259 runners 8 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 2 together 0WIN %
2

Liberate

Finley Marsh Jim & Suzi Best

53SR 72RPR 70OR 22/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-45 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 45 -2

Going Record

on Good to Soft
8%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 0 placed · 13 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 26% -26

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Finley Marsh 219 wins from 1583 rides 14 WIN %
  • Jim & Suzi Best 32 wins from 341 runners 9 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 44 together 5WIN %
3

Mollie Foster

Jason Watson Mark Loughnane

45SR 83RPR 68OR 50/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-5 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 23 · Field avg 45 -22

Going Record

on Good to Soft
42%
~ Mixed

2 wins, 3 placed · 12 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 26% +24

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Jason Watson 250 wins from 1870 rides 13 WIN %
  • Mark Loughnane 128 wins from 1275 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 8 together 0WIN %
4

Nothing But Love

Callum Hutchinson Dr Jon Scargill

71SR 72RPR 68OR 8/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
+38 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 55 · Field avg 45 +10

Going Record

on Good to Soft
33%
~ Mixed

1 win, 0 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 26% -26

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Callum Hutchinson 118 wins from 982 rides 12 WIN %
  • Dr Jon Scargill 1 wins from 6 runners 17 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 4 together 25WIN %
5

Too Too Divine

George Wood James Fanshawe

63SR 70RPR 70OR 15/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+8 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 46 · Field avg 45 +1

Going Record

on Good to Soft
50%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 1 placed · 2 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 26% +74

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • George Wood 130 wins from 1206 rides 11 WIN %
  • James Fanshawe 154 wins from 846 runners 18 WIN %
  • Pairing 8 wins from 51 together 16WIN %
6

Protectrix

Billy Loughnane John Butler

66SR 57RPR 68OR 2/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Improver backed Form trend up, money following. The dark-horse profile — bottom-up improver the market has spotted before the ratings catch up. form_trajectorymarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
+42 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 50 · Field avg 45 +5

Going Record

on Good to Soft
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 2 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 26% -26

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Billy Loughnane 581 wins from 3164 rides 18 WIN %
  • John Butler 151 wins from 1156 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 8 wins from 26 together 31WIN %
7

Bofa Beach

David Egan John Butler

63SR 81RPR 68OR 12/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+12 pts trend
→ Steady 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 54 · Field avg 45 +9

Going Record

on Good to Soft
20%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 5 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 26% -26

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • David Egan 281 wins from 2076 rides 14 WIN %
  • John Butler 151 wins from 1156 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 16 wins from 104 together 15WIN %
8

Goomah

Sean Levey John Butler

66SR 73RPR 68OR 7/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+12 pts trend
→ Steady 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 45 -2

Going Record

on Good to Soft
33%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 2 placed · 6 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 26% -26

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Sean Levey 234 wins from 1831 rides 13 WIN %
  • John Butler 151 wins from 1156 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 28 together 4WIN %
9

Sunshine And Roses

Rose Dawes(5) Jack Channon

66SR 67RPR 62OR 17/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-45 pts trend
↘ Fading 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 63 · Field avg 45 +18

Going Record

on Good to Soft
47%
~ Mixed

1 win, 6 placed · 15 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 26% -26

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Rose Dawes 35 wins from 278 rides 13 WIN %
  • Jack Channon 134 wins from 925 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 10 wins from 86 together 12WIN %
10

Case Study

Luke Morris Laura Mongan

39SR 62RPR 57OR 50/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-20 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 35 · Field avg 45 -10

Going Record

on Good to Soft
14%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 7 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 26% -26

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Luke Morris 376 wins from 3091 rides 12 WIN %
  • Laura Mongan 10 wins from 186 runners 5 WIN %
  • Pairing 5 wins from 51 together 10WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
4 Steamers
6 Drifters
0 Flat