Race Card Explorer BETA

16:12 Ayr 20 May 2026 Birra Poretti Handicap (Div I)

  • 9 Runners
  • Class 5 Class
  • 7f50y Trip
  • Good to Firm Going
Racecard
1

Roaring Ralph

Connor Beasley Michael Dods

72SR 83RPR 9/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-63 pts trend
↘ Fading 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 68 · Field avg 48 +20

Going Record

on Good to Firm
71%
★ Specialist

3 wins, 2 placed · 7 runs

This runner 67% · Field avg 32% +35

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Connor Beasley 59 wins from 414 rides 14 WIN %
  • Michael Dods 37 wins from 357 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 10 wins from 95 together 11WIN %
2

Kelpie Grey

Paul Mulrennan Jim Goldie

55SR 89RPR 13/8Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 48 -23

Going Record

on Good to Firm
33%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 3 placed · 9 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 32% +1

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Paul Mulrennan 108 wins from 1043 rides 10 WIN %
  • Jim Goldie 84 wins from 630 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 50 wins from 335 together 15WIN %
3

Mr Cool

Oliver Stammers Charlie Johnston

61SR 80RPR 14/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+18 pts trend
↗ Climbing 6 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 78 · Field avg 48 +29

Going Record

on Good to Firm
53%
✓ Proven

3 wins, 5 placed · 15 runs

This runner 60% · Field avg 32% +28

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Oliver Stammers 13 wins from 151 rides 9 WIN %
  • Charlie Johnston 171 wins from 1331 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 5 wins from 55 together 9WIN %
4

Al Muqdad

David Nolan David O'Meara

64SR 85RPR 5/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-20 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 47 · Field avg 48 -2

Going Record

on Good to Firm
32%
~ Mixed

1 win, 6 placed · 22 runs

This runner 43% · Field avg 32% +11

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • David Nolan 75 wins from 748 rides 10 WIN %
  • David O'Meara 149 wins from 1317 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 14 wins from 167 together 8WIN %
5

Elizabeth Bay

Greg Fairley Katie Scott

66SR 78RPR 80/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-5 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 28 · Field avg 48 -21

Going Record

on Good to Firm
17%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 6 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 32% -32

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Greg Fairley 4 wins from 62 rides 6 WIN %
  • Katie Scott 12 wins from 173 runners 7 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 13 together 0WIN %
6

Valentine Catcher

Sean Kirrane Tim Easterby

65SR 81RPR 11/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-2 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 41 · Field avg 48 -8

Going Record

on Good to Firm
25%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 3 placed · 12 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 32% -32

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Sean Kirrane 44 wins from 492 rides 9 WIN %
  • Tim Easterby 183 wins from 2043 runners 9 WIN %
  • Pairing 35 wins from 372 together 9WIN %
7

Novak

Andrew Mullen Iain Jardine

65SR 84RPR 10/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+13 pts trend
→ Steady 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 68 · Field avg 48 +20

Going Record

on Good to Firm
67%
✓ Proven

1 win, 1 placed · 3 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 32% +18

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Andrew Mullen 28 wins from 302 rides 9 WIN %
  • Iain Jardine 35 wins from 290 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 15 wins from 86 together 17WIN %
8

Maui Breeze

Paula Muir(3) Wilf Storey

70SR 83RPR 40/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 48 -23

Going Record

on Good to Firm
12%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 8 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 32% -32

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Paula Muir 0 wins from 13 rides 0 WIN %
  • Wilf Storey 0 wins from 16 runners 0 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 10 together 0WIN %
9

Royal Blaze

P J McDonald Ewan Whillans

68SR 83RPR 10/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+38 pts trend
↗ Climbing 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 56 · Field avg 48 +8

Going Record

on Good to Firm
67%
✓ Proven

4 wins, 2 placed · 9 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 32% +1

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • P J McDonald 83 wins from 557 rides 15 WIN %
  • Ewan Whillans 19 wins from 159 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 5 together 0WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
2 Steamers
7 Drifters
0 Flat