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16:20 Southwell (AW) 17 Sep 2026 Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Nursery Handicap Stakes

  • 13 Runners
  • Class 6 Class
  • 6f16y Trip
  • Good Going
Racecard
1

Wopbopaloomop

Jack Callan Richard Spencer

68SR 72RPR 61OR 11/4Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
+22 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 41 · Field avg 37 +4

Going Record

on Good
20%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 0 placed · 5 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 25% +8

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Jack Callan 114 wins from 837 rides 14 WIN %
  • Richard Spencer 100 wins from 680 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 17 together 18WIN %
2

Crowned

Lewis Edmunds Michael Keady

69SR 68RPR 65OR 7/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+40 pts trend
↗ Climbing 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 70 · Field avg 37 +33

Going Record

on Good
80%
★ Specialist

2 wins, 2 placed · 5 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 25% +75

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Lewis Edmunds 230 wins from 1933 rides 12 WIN %
  • Michael Keady 26 wins from 414 runners 6 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 6 together 33WIN %
3

Stoney Wood

Callum Shepherd Michael Bell

58SR 66RPR 63OR 4/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+20 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 35 · Field avg 37 -2

Going Record

on Good
20%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 5 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 25% +8

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Callum Shepherd 259 wins from 1697 rides 15 WIN %
  • Michael Bell 137 wins from 1017 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 13 wins from 96 together 14WIN %
4

Polly The Sniper

William Cox Tom Dascombe

46SR 67RPR 63OR 18/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+10 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 45 · Field avg 37 +8

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 2 placed · 6 runs

This runner 25% · Field avg 25% 0

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • William Cox 34 wins from 683 rides 5 WIN %
  • Tom Dascombe 61 wins from 496 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 4 wins from 64 together 6WIN %
5

Classyfied

James Sullivan Tim Easterby

50SR 59RPR 62OR 16/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+7 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 37 +1

Going Record

on Good
20%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 5 runs

This runner 25% · Field avg 25% 0

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • James Sullivan 119 wins from 1400 rides 8 WIN %
  • Tim Easterby 504 wins from 4728 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 12 wins from 161 together 7WIN %
6

Boutblummintime

Oisin McSweeney Adrian Keatley

60SR 73RPR 61OR 12/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 30 · Field avg 37 -7

Going Record

on Good
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 5 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 25% -25

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Oisin McSweeney 67 wins from 641 rides 10 WIN %
  • Adrian Keatley 116 wins from 767 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 20 wins from 127 together 16WIN %
7

Sable Island

Silvestre De Sousa Chris Dwyer

58SR 68RPR 61OR 17/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+12 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 31 · Field avg 37 -6

Going Record

on Good
22%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 2 placed · 9 runs

This runner 29% · Field avg 25% +4

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Silvestre De Sousa 223 wins from 1615 rides 14 WIN %
  • Chris Dwyer 31 wins from 227 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 11 wins from 93 together 12WIN %
8

Harry Who

Ryan Sexton Richard & Peter Fahey

57SR 65RPR 59OR 9/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 37 · Field avg 37 0

Going Record

on Good
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 25% -25

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Ryan Sexton 93 wins from 761 rides 12 WIN %
  • Richard & Peter Fahey 67 wins from 677 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 4 together 0WIN %
9

Sovereign Beach

David Probert Ollie Sangster

50SR 63RPR 58OR 16/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-12 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 31 · Field avg 37 -6

Going Record

on Good
17%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 6 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 25% -25

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • David Probert 319 wins from 2389 rides 13 WIN %
  • Ollie Sangster 110 wins from 781 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 7 together 14WIN %
10

Secret Rival

Ashley Lewis(3) Ed Walker

52SR 60RPR 57OR 11/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+12 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 31 · Field avg 37 -6

Going Record

on Good
20%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 5 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 25% +8

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Ashley Lewis 73 wins from 535 rides 14 WIN %
  • Ed Walker 251 wins from 1608 runners 16 WIN %
  • Pairing 18 wins from 94 together 19WIN %
11

Pageant Girl

Luke Morris James Owen

34SR 60RPR 57OR 50/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-5 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 23 · Field avg 37 -15

Going Record

on Good
14%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 0 placed · 7 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 25% +25

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Luke Morris 376 wins from 3091 rides 12 WIN %
  • James Owen 425 wins from 2298 runners 18 WIN %
  • Pairing 25 wins from 144 together 17WIN %
12

Defiant Dream

Tyler Heard Mark Usher

36SR 59RPR 56OR 50/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-5 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 37 0

Going Record

on Good
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 6 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 25% -25

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Tyler Heard 52 wins from 718 rides 7 WIN %
  • Mark Usher 70 wins from 667 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 12 wins from 142 together 8WIN %
13

So Tempting

Rob Hornby Tom Ward

44SR 58RPR 52OR -Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-20 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 35 · Field avg 37 -2

Going Record

on Good
12%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 8 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 25% -25

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Rob Hornby 243 wins from 2112 rides 12 WIN %
  • Tom Ward 70 wins from 653 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 28 together 7WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
4 Steamers
5 Drifters
4 Flat