Lodge At Ashford Castle Handicap Steeplechase — Race Explorer | Saturday Racing

1

Il Silenzio

Conor Smithers(7) Martin Brassil

87SR 91RPR 100OR 5/1Odds

Cross-lens signals 1 chip

Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs

+15 pts trend

↗ Climbing 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 54 · Field avg 32 +23

Going Record

on Good

~ Mixed

1 win, 2 placed · 7 runs

29% 57%

This runner 33% · Field avg 23% +10

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

~ Mixed

Conor Smithers(7) 15 wins from 169 rides 9 WIN %
Martin Brassil 33 wins from 280 runners 12 WIN %
Pairing 1 win from 9 together 11WIN %

2

Ladies Well

Alan O'Sullivan(5) Andrew Slattery

90SR 91RPR 98OR 10/3Odds

Cross-lens signals 2 chips

Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs

+23 pts trend

↗ Climbing 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 68 · Field avg 32 +37

Going Record

on Good

★ Specialist

3 wins, 1 placed · 9 runs

33% 56%

This runner 50% · Field avg 23% +27

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

✗ Cold

Alan O'Sullivan(5) 36 wins from 369 rides 10 WIN %
A. Slattery 179 wins from 1586 runners 11 WIN %
Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %

3

Fr Gilligansvoyge

Sarah Kavanagh(7) John G Carr

84SR 83RPR 90OR 13/2Odds

Cross-lens signals 3 chips

Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs

-45 pts trend

↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 43 · Field avg 32 +11

Going Record

on Good

✗ Avoid

3 wins, 7 placed · 48 runs

79%

This runner 20% · Field avg 23% -3

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

✗ Cold

Sarah Kavanagh 5 wins from 72 rides 7 WIN %
John G Carr 4 wins from 122 runners 3 WIN %
Pairing 1 win from 8 together 12WIN %

4

Mistyburn

Mr R Sugrue(7) P J Rothwell

77SR 89RPR 89OR 9/1Odds

Cross-lens signals 2 chips

Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs

-5 pts trend

→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 51 · Field avg 32 +19

Going Record

on Good

~ Mixed

0 wins, 3 placed · 7 runs

43% 57%

This runner 33% · Field avg 23% +10

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

✗ Cold

Mr R Sugrue(7) 4 wins from 87 rides 5 WIN %
P J Rothwell 135 wins from 1803 runners 7 WIN %
Pairing 3 wins from 49 together 6WIN %

5

Reve Inoui

Jordan Canavan(7) J P Flavin

62SR 98RPR 89OR 18/1Odds

No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs

+17 pts trend

↗ Climbing 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 17 · Field avg 32 -15

Going Record

on Good

~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 3 runs

100%

This runner 0% · Field avg 23% -23

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

✗ Cold

Jordan Canavan 3 wins from 64 rides 5 WIN %
J P Flavin 11 wins from 201 runners 5 WIN %
Pairing 1 win from 32 together 3WIN %

6

Las Brisas Boy

Kieren Buckley Edward Buckley

77SR 90RPR 88OR 7/1Odds

Cross-lens signals 3 chips

Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs

-35 pts trend

↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 38 · Field avg 32 +6

Going Record

on Good

✗ Avoid

0 wins, 2 placed · 9 runs

22% 78%

This runner 40% · Field avg 23% +17

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

✗ Cold

Kieren Buckley 39 wins from 504 rides 8 WIN %
Edward Buckley 9 wins from 130 runners 7 WIN %
Pairing 8 wins from 79 together 10WIN %

7

Zolpharine

Harry Sexton(7) John Patrick Ryan

65SR 83RPR 88OR 20/1Odds

No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs

-27 pts trend

↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 33 · Field avg 32 +2

Going Record

on Good

✗ Avoid

2 wins, 3 placed · 23 runs

78%

This runner 20% · Field avg 23% -3

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

✗ Cold

Harry Sexton(7) 19 wins from 428 rides 4 WIN %
John Patrick Ryan 94 wins from 1127 runners 8 WIN %
Pairing 2 wins from 40 together 5WIN %

8

Hit The Frame

Liam Quinlan J P Flavin

66SR 84RPR 86OR 14/1Odds

No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs

-25 pts trend

↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 31 · Field avg 32 -1

Going Record

on Good

✗ Avoid

1 win, 1 placed · 10 runs

80%

This runner 25% · Field avg 23% +2

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

✗ Cold

Liam Quinlan 25 wins from 318 rides 8 WIN %
J P Flavin 11 wins from 201 runners 5 WIN %
Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %

9

The Little Yank

John Aherne(7) John Patrick Ryan

77SR 101RPR 86OR 10/1Odds

Cross-lens signals 2 chips

Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs

-33 pts trend

↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 32 · Field avg 32 0

Going Record

on Good

~ Mixed

5 wins, 14 placed · 46 runs

30% 59%

This runner 46% · Field avg 23% +23

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

✗ Cold

John Aherne(7) 1 wins from 51 rides 2 WIN %
John Patrick Ryan 94 wins from 1127 runners 8 WIN %
Pairing 1 win from 33 together 3WIN %

10

Tomas O Maille

Philip Donovan M Flannery

77SR 102RPR 86OR 10/1Odds

Cross-lens signals 1 chip

Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs

+25 pts trend

↗ Climbing 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 24 · Field avg 32 -7

Going Record

on Good

✗ Avoid

1 win, 6 placed · 26 runs

23% 73%

This runner 24% · Field avg 23% +1

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

✗ Cold

Philip Donovan 29 wins from 452 rides 6 WIN %
M Flannery 5 wins from 151 runners 3 WIN %
Pairing 2 wins from 19 together 11WIN %

11

Not So Serious

P J O'Hanlon W J Lanigan

58SR 100RPR 84OR 28/1Odds

No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs

-22 pts trend

↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 23 · Field avg 32 -9

Going Record

on Good

✗ Avoid

1 win, 0 placed · 8 runs

88%

This runner 14% · Field avg 23% -9

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

✗ Cold

P J O'Hanlon 30 wins from 426 rides 7 WIN %
W J Lanigan 7 wins from 102 runners 7 WIN %
Pairing 0 wins from 5 together 0WIN %

12

Kilashee

Kevin Healy(7) John Patrick Ryan

50SR 93RPR 80OR 22/1Odds

No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs

+8 pts trend

→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 13 · Field avg 32 -19

Going Record

on Good

~ Mixed

4 wins, 8 placed · 34 runs

24% 65%

This runner 32% · Field avg 23% +9

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

✗ Cold

Kevin Healy(7) 17 wins from 176 rides 10 WIN %
John Patrick Ryan 94 wins from 1127 runners 8 WIN %
Pairing 0 wins from 7 together 0WIN %

13

Swing Time

Aidan Kelly V T O'Brien

50SR 87RPR 78OR 25/1Odds

No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs

+20 pts trend

↗ Climbing 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 27 · Field avg 32 -5

Going Record

on Good

✗ Avoid

1 win, 0 placed · 7 runs

86%

This runner 0% · Field avg 23% -23

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

🔥 Hot pairing

Aidan Kelly 41 wins from 454 rides 9 WIN %
V T O'Brien 6 wins from 166 runners 4 WIN %
Pairing 2 wins from 7 together 29WIN %

14

Set The Tone

Mike O'Connor David M O'Brien

83SR 80RPR 77OR 10/1Odds

Cross-lens signals 3 chips

Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs

-30 pts trend

↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 50 · Field avg 32 +18

Going Record

on Good

~ Mixed

1 win, 3 placed · 13 runs

23% 69%

This runner 44% · Field avg 23% +21

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

✗ Cold

Mike O'Connor 26 wins from 459 rides 6 WIN %
David M O'Brien 8 wins from 139 runners 6 WIN %
Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %

15

Three Tribes

Mr E M Nugent(7) Barry T Murphy

46SR 80RPR 76OR 40/1Odds

No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs

+5 pts trend

→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 19 · Field avg 32 -12

Going Record

on Good

✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 6 runs

100%

This runner 0% · Field avg 23% -23

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

~ Mixed

Mr E M Nugent 1 wins from 23 rides 4 WIN %
Barry T Murphy 9 wins from 68 runners 13 WIN %
Pairing 0 wins from 5 together 0WIN %

16

Subset

Thomas O'Connor(7) Peter Maher

60SR 95RPR 72OR 40/1Odds

No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs

-5 pts trend

→ Steady 0 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 3 · Field avg 32 -29

Going Record

on Good

✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 4 runs

100%

This runner 0% · Field avg 23% -23

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

✗ Cold

Thomas O'Connor(7) 9 wins from 126 rides 7 WIN %
Peter Maher 1 wins from 101 runners 1 WIN %
Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %

17

Walkmethroughit

— Kieran Callaghan

47SR 78RPR 85OR 14/1Odds

Cross-lens signals 2 chips

Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs

-3 pts trend

→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 10 · Field avg 32 -22

Going Record

on Good

✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 4 runs

100%

This runner 0% · Field avg 23% -23

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

✗ Cold

— no career data on file 0 WIN %
Kieran Callaghan 0 wins from 14 runners 0 WIN %
Pairing no recorded rides as a pair —NEW PAIR

18

Island McCoo

— Donncha Duggan

79SR 88RPR 89OR 8/1Odds

Cross-lens signals 3 chips

Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs

-28 pts trend

↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 51 · Field avg 32 +19

Going Record

on Good

✗ Avoid

1 win, 2 placed · 14 runs

79%

This runner 20% · Field avg 23% -3

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

✗ Cold

— no career data on file 0 WIN %
Donncha Duggan 9 wins from 96 runners 9 WIN %
Pairing no recorded rides as a pair —NEW PAIR

19

U Asking Me

— Eoin Doyle

57SR 87RPR 78OR 20/1Odds

No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs

0 pts trend

→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

oldest last out

This runner 17 · Field avg 32 -15

Going Record

on Good

~ Mixed

1 win, 4 placed · 16 runs

25% 69%

This runner 33% · Field avg 23% +10

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing

✗ Cold

— no career data on file 0 WIN %
Eoin Doyle 20 wins from 391 runners 5 WIN %
Pairing no recorded rides as a pair —NEW PAIR