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13:32 Southwell (AW) 31 Aug 2026 Oktoberfest 3rd And 10th October Maiden Fillies' Stakes (gbb Race)

  • 10 Runners
  • Class 4 Class
  • 4f214y Trip
  • Good Going
Racecard
1

Beautiful Effort

Silvestre De Sousa Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos

72SR 70OR 5/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Improver backed Form trend up, money following. The dark-horse profile — bottom-up improver the market has spotted before the ratings catch up. form_trajectorymarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
+45 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 52 · Field avg 43 +10

Going Record

on Good
50%
✓ Proven

1 win, 1 placed · 4 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 30% +20

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Silvestre De Sousa 223 wins from 1615 rides 14 WIN %
  • Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos 2 wins from 67 runners 3 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 11 together 9WIN %
2

Chiwara

Barry McHugh Richard & Peter Fahey

142SR 18/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 40 · Field avg 43 -2

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 1 placed · 3 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 30% +20

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Barry McHugh 52 wins from 601 rides 9 WIN %
  • Richard & Peter Fahey 67 wins from 677 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 46 together 4WIN %
3

Cosmic Mystery

Luke Morris Archie Watson

85SR 79OR 10/3Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
+25 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 35 · Field avg 43 -8

Going Record

on Good
20%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 5 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 30% -30

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Luke Morris 376 wins from 3091 rides 12 WIN %
  • Archie Watson 210 wins from 1415 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 40 wins from 265 together 15WIN %
4

Delighfully Hot

Cieren Fallon James Owen

82SR 74OR 15/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-18 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 51 · Field avg 43 +8

Going Record

on Good
50%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 3 placed · 6 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 30% +20

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Cieren Fallon 336 wins from 1914 rides 18 WIN %
  • James Owen 425 wins from 2298 runners 18 WIN %
  • Pairing 23 wins from 134 together 17WIN %
5

Estupenda

Alex Jary(3) Joey Ramsden

125SR 40/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 2 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 2 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 43 -18

Going Record

on Good
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 2 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 30% -30

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Alex Jary 66 wins from 708 rides 9 WIN %
  • Joey Ramsden 13 wins from 198 runners 7 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 16 together 6WIN %
6

Kokumi

Gina Mangan Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole

79SR 72OR 11/2Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 60 · Field avg 43 +18

Going Record

on Good
67%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 2 placed · 3 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 30% -30

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Gina Mangan 103 wins from 911 rides 11 WIN %
  • Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole 109 wins from 969 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 7 wins from 52 together 13WIN %
7

Quiet Soul

Sean Levey Michael Herrington

44SR 63OR 50/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-23 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 37 · Field avg 43 -6

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 2 placed · 6 runs

This runner 25% · Field avg 30% -5

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Sean Levey 234 wins from 1831 rides 13 WIN %
  • Michael Herrington 112 wins from 789 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 7 together 43WIN %
8

Sayidah Dubawi

Billy Loughnane James Tate

150SR 9/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 2 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 2 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 33 · Field avg 43 -10

Going Record

on Good
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 1 run

This runner 0% · Field avg 30% -30

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
★ Both hot
  • Billy Loughnane 581 wins from 3164 rides 18 WIN %
  • James Tate 125 wins from 674 runners 19 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 38 together 8WIN %
9

Sioux Moon

Paddy Bradley Charlie Fellowes

143SR 20/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
+5 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 45 · Field avg 43 +2

Going Record

on Good
50%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 2 placed · 4 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 30% +20

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Paddy Bradley 107 wins from 1130 rides 9 WIN %
  • Charlie Fellowes 84 wins from 785 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 14 wins from 99 together 14WIN %
10

Viking Barbie

Marco Ghiani Ollie Sangster

72SR 70OR 9/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-5 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 48 · Field avg 43 +5

Going Record

on Good
57%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 4 placed · 7 runs

This runner 80% · Field avg 30% +50

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Marco Ghiani 276 wins from 1721 rides 16 WIN %
  • Ollie Sangster 110 wins from 781 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 3 together 33WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
3 Steamers
7 Drifters
0 Flat