Race Card Explorer BETA

18:00 Ayr 8 Aug 2026 Sunday Roast At Western House Hotel Handicap Stakes

  • 12 Runners
  • Class 6 Class
  • 0m5f0y Trip
  • Good Going
Racecard
1

Hi Lord

Barry McHugh W H Harrison

61SR 66RPR 65OR 7/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-25 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 49 · Field avg 44 +5

Going Record

on Good
43%
~ Mixed

1 win, 2 placed · 7 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 35% +15

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Barry McHugh 30 wins from 401 rides 7 WIN %
  • W H Harrison 1 wins from 10 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 6 together 17WIN %
3

Harb

Lexie Clarkson(7) Tristan Davidson

60SR 70RPR 61OR 9/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+28 pts trend
↗ Climbing 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 56 · Field avg 44 +12

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

2 wins, 3 placed · 15 runs

This runner 40% · Field avg 35% +5

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Trainer hot
  • Lexie Clarkson 1 wins from 13 rides 8 WIN %
  • Tristan Davidson 27 wins from 141 runners 19 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 3 together 0WIN %
4

Water Of Leith

Paul Mulrennan Jim Goldie

62SR 65RPR 60OR 4/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-12 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 31 · Field avg 44 -13

Going Record

on Good
33%
~ Mixed

2 wins, 3 placed · 15 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 35% -2

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Paul Mulrennan 108 wins from 1043 rides 10 WIN %
  • Jim Goldie 84 wins from 630 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 50 wins from 335 together 15WIN %
5

Startling

Jason Hart John Wainwright

61SR 65RPR 60OR 10/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-7 pts trend
→ Steady 5 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 68 · Field avg 44 +24

Going Record

on Good
62%
✓ Proven

1 win, 9 placed · 16 runs

This runner 58% · Field avg 35% +23

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Jason Hart 190 wins from 1359 rides 14 WIN %
  • John Wainwright 7 wins from 76 runners 9 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 3 together 33WIN %
6

Midnight Lir

Sean Kirrane Michael Dods

51SR 64RPR 59OR 16/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-7 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 44 -6

Going Record

on Good
17%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 6 runs

This runner 20% · Field avg 35% -15

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Sean Kirrane 44 wins from 492 rides 9 WIN %
  • Michael Dods 37 wins from 357 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 5 wins from 39 together 13WIN %
7

South Parade

Ethan Tindall(5) Richard & Peter Fahey

57SR 63RPR 58OR 4/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Improver backed Form trend up, money following. The dark-horse profile — bottom-up improver the market has spotted before the ratings catch up. form_trajectorymarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+37 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 44 0

Going Record

on Good
36%
~ Mixed

2 wins, 3 placed · 14 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 35% -2

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Ethan Tindall 12 wins from 127 rides 9 WIN %
  • Richard & Peter Fahey 47 wins from 486 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 5 wins from 61 together 8WIN %
8

Harry Mole

Dougie Costello Steph Hollinshead

63SR 59RPR 57OR 4/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-7 pts trend
→ Steady 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 57 · Field avg 44 +13

Going Record

on Good
57%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 4 placed · 7 runs

This runner 67% · Field avg 35% +32

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Dougie Costello 12 wins from 180 rides 7 WIN %
  • Steph Hollinshead 5 wins from 99 runners 5 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 28 together 7WIN %
9

Keep The Gold

Lewis Edmunds Michael Dods

40SR 61RPR 55OR 18/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-20 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 35 · Field avg 44 -9

Going Record

on Good
29%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 2 placed · 7 runs

This runner 20% · Field avg 35% -15

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Lewis Edmunds 100 wins from 947 rides 11 WIN %
  • Michael Dods 37 wins from 357 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 27 together 7WIN %
10

Falcon Queen

James Sullivan R Mike Smith

31SR 58RPR 57OR 66/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+5 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 28 · Field avg 44 -16

Going Record

on Good
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 8 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 35% -35

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • James Sullivan 37 wins from 576 rides 6 WIN %
  • R Mike Smith 14 wins from 146 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 8 together 12WIN %
11

Supremissy

Andrew Mullen Iain Jardine

42SR 53RPR 56OR 20/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 4 runs
-30 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 4 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 48 · Field avg 44 +4

Going Record

on Good
25%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 0 placed · 4 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 35% -2

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Andrew Mullen 28 wins from 302 rides 9 WIN %
  • Iain Jardine 35 wins from 290 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 15 wins from 86 together 17WIN %
12

Royal Duke

Shay Farmer(5) R Mike Smith

47SR 49RPR 46OR 12/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Improver backed Form trend up, money following. The dark-horse profile — bottom-up improver the market has spotted before the ratings catch up. form_trajectorymarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+25 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 44 -6

Going Record

on Good
20%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 1 placed · 10 runs

This runner 29% · Field avg 35% -6

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Shay Farmer(5) 19 wins from 225 rides 8 WIN %
  • R Mike Smith 14 wins from 146 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 7 together 29WIN %
13

Summerstorms Dream

Lauren Young(5) Jim Goldie

27SR 43RPR 45OR 33/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+2 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 36 · Field avg 44 -8

Going Record

on Good
29%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 2 placed · 7 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 35% -2

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Lauren Young 12 wins from 138 rides 9 WIN %
  • Jim Goldie 84 wins from 630 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 12 wins from 126 together 10WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
4 Steamers
6 Drifters
2 Flat