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19:18 Chepstow 3 Jul 2026 DragonBet Welsh Racing Festival 9th-11th October Handicap

  • 8 Runners
  • Class 6 Class
  • 1m14y Trip
  • Good to Firm Going
Racecard
1

Ernie McCrew

Donagh Murphy(7) J S Moore

30SR 54OR 33/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-7 pts trend
→ Steady 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 53 · Field avg 48 +6

Going Record

on Good to Firm
27%
✗ Avoid

1 win, 2 placed · 11 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 55% -55

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Donagh Murphy 20 wins from 238 rides 8 WIN %
  • J. S. Moore 65 wins from 886 runners 7 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 8 together 0WIN %
2

Anorah Unleashed

Jack Doughty Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole

47SR 54OR 11/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-8 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 34 · Field avg 48 -13

Going Record

on Good to Firm
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 7 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 55% -55

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Jack Doughty 146 wins from 1158 rides 13 WIN %
  • Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole 109 wins from 969 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 5 wins from 75 together 7WIN %
3

Buckland Belle

Jason Watson Ollie Sangster

69SR 53OR 11/10Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-12 pts trend
→ Steady 5 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 76 · Field avg 48 +28

Going Record

on Good to Firm
53%
★ Specialist

3 wins, 5 placed · 15 runs

This runner 86% · Field avg 55% +31

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Jason Watson 250 wins from 1870 rides 13 WIN %
  • Ollie Sangster 110 wins from 781 runners 14 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 35 together 3WIN %
4

Violet Goldsmith

Callum Hutchinson Eve Johnson Houghton

48SR 53OR 12/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-35 pts trend
↘ Fading 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 63 · Field avg 48 +15

Going Record

on Good to Firm
50%
✓ Proven

1 win, 2 placed · 6 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 55% +45

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Callum Hutchinson 118 wins from 982 rides 12 WIN %
  • Eve Johnson Houghton 176 wins from 1367 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 17 wins from 90 together 19WIN %
5

Lady Of Clover

Oisin Murphy George Scott

63SR 53OR 10/3Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-22 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 53 · Field avg 48 +5

Going Record

on Good to Firm
55%
✓ Proven

2 wins, 4 placed · 11 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 55% +45

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Oisin Murphy 602 wins from 2786 rides 22 WIN %
  • George Scott 176 wins from 900 runners 20 WIN %
  • Pairing 5 wins from 24 together 21WIN %
6

Alice's Influence

Mason Paetel(5) David Evans

65SR 52OR 7/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-17 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 48 -9

Going Record

on Good to Firm
44%
~ Mixed

1 win, 3 placed · 9 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 55% -5

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Mason Paetel(3) 57 wins from 521 rides 11 WIN %
  • David Evans 131 wins from 1013 runners 13 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %
7

Paean Of Appin

Rob Hornby Brian Meehan

28SR 49OR 50/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 3 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 3 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 48 -23

Going Record

on Good to Firm
0%
~ Mixed

0 wins, 0 placed · 1 run

This runner 0% · Field avg 55% -55

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Rob Hornby 243 wins from 2112 rides 12 WIN %
  • Brian Meehan 36 wins from 379 runners 9 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 12 together 0WIN %
8

Very Demure

Harry Vigors(5) Archie Watson

33SR 49OR 33/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-28 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 39 · Field avg 48 -8

Going Record

on Good to Firm
29%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 2 placed · 7 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 55% -5

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Harry Vigors 37 wins from 300 rides 12 WIN %
  • Archie Watson 210 wins from 1415 runners 15 WIN %
  • Pairing 6 wins from 32 together 19WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
2 Steamers
6 Drifters
0 Flat