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19:18 Chepstow 3 Jul 2026 DragonBet Welsh Racing Festival 9th-11th October Handicap

  • 8 Runners
  • Class 6 Class
  • 1m14y Trip
  • Good to Firm Going
Racecard
1

Ernie McCrew

Donagh Murphy(7) J S Moore

30SR 54OR 33/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+15 pts trend
↗ Climbing 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 38 · Field avg 47 -9

Going Record

on Good to Firm
12%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 1 placed · 8 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 55% -55

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Donagh Murphy(7) 15 wins from 146 rides 10 WIN %
  • J S Moore 23 wins from 374 runners 6 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 7 together 0WIN %
2

Anorah Unleashed

Jack Doughty Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole

47SR 54OR 11/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-8 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 34 · Field avg 47 -12

Going Record

on Good to Firm
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 7 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 55% -55

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Jack Doughty 68 wins from 669 rides 10 WIN %
  • Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole 58 wins from 635 runners 9 WIN %
  • Pairing 5 wins from 69 together 7WIN %
3

Buckland Belle

Jason Watson Ollie Sangster

69SR 53OR 11/10Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+10 pts trend
→ Steady 6 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 77 · Field avg 47 +30

Going Record

on Good to Firm
50%
★ Specialist

2 wins, 4 placed · 12 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 55% +45

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Jason Watson 114 wins from 915 rides 12 WIN %
  • Ollie Sangster 71 wins from 569 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 33 together 3WIN %
4

Violet Goldsmith

Callum Hutchinson Eve Johnson Houghton

48SR 53OR 12/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+55 pts trend
↗ Climbing 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 53 · Field avg 47 +6

Going Record

on Good to Firm
60%
✓ Proven

1 win, 2 placed · 5 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 55% +45

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Callum Hutchinson 62 wins from 535 rides 12 WIN %
  • Eve Johnson Houghton 79 wins from 707 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 17 wins from 70 together 24WIN %
5

Lady Of Clover

Oisin Murphy George Scott

63SR 53OR 10/3Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+2 pts trend
→ Steady 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 63 · Field avg 47 +16

Going Record

on Good to Firm
62%
✓ Proven

2 wins, 3 placed · 8 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 55% +45

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
★ Both hot
  • Oisin Murphy 292 wins from 1378 rides 21 WIN %
  • George Scott 86 wins from 488 runners 18 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 21 together 14WIN %
6

Alice's Influence

Mason Paetel(5) David Evans

65SR 52OR 7/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-18 pts trend
↘ Fading 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 44 · Field avg 47 -2

Going Record

on Good to Firm
50%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 3 placed · 6 runs

This runner 33% · Field avg 55% -22

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Mason Paetel 50 wins from 420 rides 12 WIN %
  • David Evans 43 wins from 361 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %
7

Paean Of Appin

Rob Hornby Brian Meehan

28SR 49OR 50/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 2 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 2 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 47 -22

Going Record

on Good to Firm

No runs on Good to Firm — untested.

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Rob Hornby 132 wins from 1163 rides 11 WIN %
  • Brian Meehan 16 wins from 180 runners 9 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 6 together 0WIN %
8

Very Demure

Harry Vigors(5) Archie Watson

33SR 49OR 33/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-28 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 39 · Field avg 47 -7

Going Record

on Good to Firm
29%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 2 placed · 7 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 55% -5

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Harry Vigors 29 wins from 237 rides 12 WIN %
  • Archie Watson 81 wins from 709 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 6 wins from 32 together 19WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
2 Steamers
6 Drifters
0 Flat