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19:18 Chepstow 3 Jul 2026 DragonBet Welsh Racing Festival 9th-11th October Handicap

  • 8 Runners
  • Class 6 Class
  • 1m14y Trip
  • Good to Firm Going
Racecard
1

Ernie McCrew

Donagh Murphy(7) J S Moore

30SR 54OR 33/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 5 runs
-2 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 5 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 31 · Field avg 43 -12

Going Record

on Good to Firm
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 4 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 57% -57

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Donagh Murphy(7) 12 wins from 108 rides 11 WIN %
  • J S Moore 16 wins from 324 runners 5 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 3 together 0WIN %
2

Anorah Unleashed

Jack Doughty Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole

47SR 54OR 11/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-5 pts trend
→ Steady 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 34 · Field avg 43 -9

Going Record

on Good to Firm
0%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 0 placed · 6 runs

This runner 0% · Field avg 57% -57

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Jack Doughty 62 wins from 616 rides 10 WIN %
  • Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole 58 wins from 604 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 5 wins from 62 together 8WIN %
3

Buckland Belle

Jason Watson Ollie Sangster

69SR 53OR 11/10Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+22 pts trend
↗ Climbing 4 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 61 · Field avg 43 +18

Going Record

on Good to Firm
33%
~ Mixed

1 win, 2 placed · 9 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 57% +43

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Jason Watson 100 wins from 824 rides 12 WIN %
  • Ollie Sangster 59 wins from 500 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 32 together 3WIN %
4

Violet Goldsmith

Callum Hutchinson Eve Johnson Houghton

48SR 53OR 12/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+40 pts trend
↗ Climbing 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 45 · Field avg 43 +2

Going Record

on Good to Firm
50%
✓ Proven

1 win, 1 placed · 4 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 57% +43

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Callum Hutchinson 57 wins from 471 rides 12 WIN %
  • Eve Johnson Houghton 67 wins from 593 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 15 wins from 50 together 30WIN %
5

Lady Of Clover

Oisin Murphy George Scott

63SR 53OR 10/3Odds
Cross-lens signals 1 chip
  • Drift trap Top-rated by the SR / RPR engine but the market is walking away. Late drift on a fancied horse is the classic stable-not-pressing signal. sr_ratingmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+15 pts trend
↗ Climbing 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 56 · Field avg 43 +13

Going Record

on Good to Firm
57%
✓ Proven

1 win, 3 placed · 7 runs

This runner 100% · Field avg 57% +43

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Oisin Murphy 254 wins from 1163 rides 22 WIN %
  • George Scott 77 wins from 430 runners 18 WIN %
  • Pairing 3 wins from 16 together 19WIN %
6

Alice's Influence

Mason Paetel(5) David Evans

65SR 52OR 7/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 3 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-15 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 54 · Field avg 43 +11

Going Record

on Good to Firm
60%
✓ Proven

0 wins, 3 placed · 5 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 57% -7

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Mason Paetel 44 wins from 358 rides 12 WIN %
  • David Evans 37 wins from 309 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 1 together 0WIN %
7

Paean Of Appin

Rob Hornby Brian Meehan

28SR 49OR 50/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 2 runs
0 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 2 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 25 · Field avg 43 -18

Going Record

on Good to Firm

No runs on Good to Firm — untested.

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Rob Hornby 116 wins from 1048 rides 11 WIN %
  • Brian Meehan 12 wins from 149 runners 8 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 6 together 0WIN %
8

Very Demure

Harry Vigors(5) Archie Watson

33SR 49OR 33/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-28 pts trend
↘ Fading 1 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 39 · Field avg 43 -4

Going Record

on Good to Firm
29%
✗ Avoid

0 wins, 2 placed · 7 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 57% -7

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Harry Vigors 23 wins from 190 rides 12 WIN %
  • Archie Watson 77 wins from 647 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 6 wins from 32 together 19WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
2 Steamers
6 Drifters
0 Flat