Ascot 17:35 19 Jun 2026
Class 1 19 Jun 2026

Today King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings)

King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) (Colts & Geldings) · 1m3f211y

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  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Causeway Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 4 hours, 30 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Ancient Egypt silks
Ancient Egypt
Age 3 · 9-2
117-18
100
105
3
9-2
11/1 10/1 11/1
Ran in the Derby at Epsom last time — Group 1 level, even if well beaten eighth — and three wins in the last five starts underline real ability, with the return to quick ground a major plus; consistency remains the question.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 105 and slipping form (117-18) at 10/1 suggest mid-tier prospects without market confidence.

2
Causeway silks
Causeway
Age 3 · 9-2
41-111
108
123
3
9-2
11/8 2/1 11/10
Four wins in his last five starts — the latest a battling Group 3 success at the Curragh — signal a colt in red-hot form, and the step up to 12f looks a natural progression for this imposing type; the first-time hood is the one thing to watch.
AI verdict

Causeway's near-perfect form (41-111) and strong 123 Saturday Rating justify 4/5 stars despite carrying top weight of 9-2.

3
Echo Of Stars silks
Echo Of Stars
Age 3 · 9-2
42-41
90
77
3
9-2
50/1 33/1 40/1
Broke its duck at Chepstow 21 days ago, wearing a tongue-tie again today, but stepping into novice company rather than a handicap where connections might have exploited that win more ruthlessly — our figures rank it last of six, making it hard to fancy despite genuine course-and-distance versatility.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 77 and 33/1 odds highlight Echo Of Stars as a longshot with inconsistent form making top-two finish unlikely.

4
Golden Story silks
Golden Story
Age 3 · 9-2
1-31
102
102
3
9-2
17/2 9/1 15/2
Competitive recent form — two wins from three latest starts including a Listed success last time — but our figures rank Golden Story fifth of six here, making it tough to fancy at this level despite the horse being open to further progress.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 102 and inconsistent form (1-31) at 10/1 suggest mid-tier prospects in this Group 2.

5
Venetian Prince silks
Venetian Prince
Age 3 · 9-2
-22401
107
100
3
9-2
25/1 12/1 25/1
Venetian Prince arrives on the back of a neck Group 2 success at San Siro 17 days ago, handled by a trainer with a strong record at this track, and the wide range of conditions he handles — heavy to fast — adds versatility; first-time headgear is the unknown, and Italian form may not fully translate here.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 100 and recent win in form justify mid-tier appeal, but 16/1 odds signal weak market confidence.

6
Water To Wine silks
Water To Wine
Age 3 · 9-2
11
104
97
3
9-2
11/8 Evs 5/4
Back-to-back wins — including a dominant 11-length success last time — mark Water To Wine as the one to beat here, with trainer form strong and a genuine shot at a first Group victory now looking within reach over this trip.
AI verdict

Unbeaten form and even-money odds suggest strong claims, but a Saturday Rating of 97 leaves improvement needed at Group 2 level.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Ancient Egypt 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 William Hill
2 Causeway 11/8 open 3.00 5/4 open 3.00 5/4 open 3.00 11/8 open 3.00 11/10 open 3.00 11/8 Bet365
3 Echo Of Stars 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 66/1 William Hill
4 Golden Story 17/2 open 11.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 17/2 Bet365
5 Venetian Prince 25/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 13.00 28/1 open 13.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 Coral
6 Water To Wine 11/8 open 2.00 6/4 open 2.00 6/4 open 2.00 5/4 open 2.00 6/4 open 2.00 6/4 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Causeway

Live signal

Causeway owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (68) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/8 A P O'Brien Ryan Moore
74% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Water To Wine

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/8 · John & Thady Gosden
✓ Value Signal

Venetian Prince

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Andrew Balding
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
68 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +26.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Causeway
63.7 11/8
2 6. Water To Wine
59.5 11/8
3 4. Golden Story
55.8 17/2
4 1. Ancient Egypt
54.9 11/1
5 5. Venetian Prince
46.7 25/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Causeway
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 9-2
11/8
★★★★☆ SR 123 🐾

Causeway's near-perfect form (41-111) and strong 123 Saturday Rating justify 4/5 stars despite carrying top weight of 9-2.

6
Age 3 · 9-2
11/8
★★★☆☆ SR 97 🐾

Unbeaten form and even-money odds suggest strong claims, but a Saturday Rating of 97 leaves improvement needed at Group 2 level.

4
Age 3 · 9-2
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 102 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 102 and inconsistent form (1-31) at 10/1 suggest mid-tier prospects in this Group 2.

1
Age 3 · 9-2
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 105 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 105 and slipping form (117-18) at 10/1 suggest mid-tier prospects without market confidence.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Causeway
Confidence: Medium

Causeway (SR 123, 2/1) arrives on the back of a four-timer — form reads 41-111 with the most recent three runs all wins, which is the strongest recent form string in the field. As the leading SR in the race at 123, carrying 9-2 alongside every rival, there is no weight penalty to absorb. Trained by A P O'Brien, whose operation has a strong record in this specific Group 2 at Royal Ascot with three-year-olds stepping up in class, and market confidence at 2/1 is backed by a logical form progression rather than hype. Water To Wine (evens) has the market support but only two career runs (form: 11) — a very limited profile against a horse with proven form at this trip and level. Each-way alternative: Ancient Egypt. Main danger: Water To Wine — Trained by John & Thady Gosden and sent off at evens by a market that rarely gets things this wrong, Water To Wine's unbeaten record (form: 11) may mask a higher ceiling than the SR of 97 currently captures — if those two wins were achieved with something in hand, a step up to Group 2 company could reveal untapped improvement.

Shortlist Causeway, Water To Wine, Ancient Egypt
Each-way: Ancient Egypt Danger: Water To Wine

🗺 The Course Class 1

1m3f211y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Ascot Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade