Great St Wilfred Silver Cup
LLaMa's predicted finish — the four horses to keep on the radar. Form, figures and a verdict apiece below.
The case for Roberto Caro rests almost entirely on the connections data, and it is compelling. M. P. Sheehy has hit 29% in the last 30 days from 21 rides — six …
Ten prior wins at Ripon is not a stat you ignore, even on a ten-year-old rated 67. Mark's Choice knows this track intimately, and Gemma Tutty — who also trains Beyond Borders …
Emperor Caradoc has the sole MARKET_MOVE signal in the field that is not paired with any other obvious flag — meaning the money coming for him is unexplained by public-facing data, which …
Glory Hyde's form figures of 511109 tell a clear story: this horse has won three of its last six starts and has been consistently competitive at the head of affairs. Two prior …
Every horse, every angle. Ratings, pedigree, jockey bookings and LLaMa's capsule note — or the API spotlight when the editor hasn't overlaid their own take.
Westmorian enters this race as the highest-rated runner at OR 80, which in theory suggests class, but the form figures tell a different story: R (refused), 8, 7, 4, 6 is a sequence going in the wrong direction. Oliver Stammers is at 18% last 30 days, which is decent, but the rating premium is not backed by recent form. At 20/1 the price may look like value; the form says it isn't.
Form figures: R-8746
Westmorian has run over today's trip and going before, and his 28-day break looks well-timed for this return, with our rating of 84 marking him out as a leading contender among 20 rivals; the concern is that he has been winless in his last five starts.
Roach Power is OR 79 — second only to Westmorian in this field — but the form of 0-0974 shows two non-completions or last-place efforts in recent outings before a marginal improvement to a 4. J F Egan is a capable rider but no hot-jockey signal attaches to this booking. The weight burden of 9-11 in a large-field sprint on the back of this form is a strong reason to oppose.
Form figures: 0-0974
Winless in his last five starts and not seen out for 68 days, Roach Power does at least bring experience of today's distance and going, but stall 16 and a 137 lb burden make life no easier for a horse who has to find significant improvement.
Glory Hyde's form figures of 511109 tell a clear story: this horse has won three of its last six starts and has been consistently competitive at the head of affairs. Two prior wins at Ripon back that course familiarity, and at OR 78 she sits near the top of this handicap but is clearly operating at a level where she can still be competitive. Joanna Mason's booking is a positive — Mason has ridden regularly for Roger Fell and knows the horse's running style. If Roberto Caro underperforms, Glory Hyde's course record and recent win-strike make her the most likely alternative to fill a place.
Form figures: 511109
Glory Hyde won three of her last six starts, including back-to-back victories three and four starts back, but has disappointed in her last two outings; she has run over today's trip and going, yet carries 136 lb from stall 19 and an official mark of 78 leaves her with little in hand.
Mythical Composer comes from a Clive Cox yard running at only 13% last 30 days, which is below the level you'd need to get excited about a 25/1 shot from that operation. The form of 441-40 includes a gap (dash) after a 40, suggesting a break in running, and the most recent figure is a 0. The p headgear is retained. Hard to find a positive angle at 25/1 with no course form and a below-par trainer signal.
Form figures: 441-40
Landed a win three starts back but has been unplaced most recently, and that inconsistency is the concern here; he has run over today's trip and going, and at 136 lb from stall 15, there is plenty to overcome if he is to recapture that winning form.
Kats Bob is an eight-year-old on OR 77 with a form figure of 040722 — two consecutive seconds suggest he is close to a win, but close-to-a-win is not the same as winning a 20-runner handicap. Ruth Carr is in decent form at 16% last 30 days, but Oisin Orr has gone to Woodstock, not this horse. The visor is on; the jockey choice doesn't inspire confidence this is the yard's pick.
Form figures: 040722
Kats Bob has finished second in each of his last two starts and arrives here fresh on 17 days' rest, with experience of today's trip and conditions working in his favour; yet to win in recent starts and a midfield ranking on ratings suggest he'll need to find a touch more to go one better.
Grant Wood carries one Ripon win and Jason Hart is riding at 15% in the last 30 days (15/101), which is a workmanlike rather than elite rate. The issue is that Paul Midgley runs both Grant Wood and Emperor Caradoc here, and the market money is not on Grant Wood. When the yard's other runner is steaming and this one isn't, the trainer's preference is fairly clear. Watch rather than back.
Form figures: 830004
Grant Wood has run over today's trip and going, and his fourth last time out hints at a return to form — ranked third of 20 on our figures, he carries 135 lb from stall seven and represents a genuine threat, though he remains winless in recent starts.
Woodstock's form sequence shows consistent placing — 346224 is a horse that finishes in the frame but hasn't won recently. Ruth Carr's yard is at 16% last 30 days, and Oisin Orr (23% strike rate, 12/52) is genuinely hot. The visor headgear is retained. At 10/1 he's worth including in each-way multiples but is not a win-first selection without clearer evidence of a gear change.
Form figures: 346224
Winless in his last six starts, Woodstock at least shows consistency with two seconds in recent outings, and he has run over today's trip and going before; carrying 134 lb from stall ten, his rating of 80 offers some encouragement, though a first win remains elusive.
The case for Roberto Caro rests almost entirely on the connections data, and it is compelling. M. P. Sheehy has hit 29% in the last 30 days from 21 rides — six winners — which is a elite short-term strike rate that demands attention at any price, let alone 14/1. Crucially, his trainer Adrian Keatley is also running at 23% in the same window (6/26), and when both components of the team are firing simultaneously, the probability of an intentional raid becomes much harder to dismiss. Keatley placing a 76-OR horse in a field where the top-rated runner sits on 80 suggests this is a race the yard has identified as winnable.
Form figures: 343000
Winless in his last six starts, Roberto Caro has been unplaced in his three most recent outings, though a third four starts back shows he retains some ability; experience over today's trip and going helps, but 134 lb from stall 18 makes things harder.
Magic Boy's 1-2417 form includes genuine quality — a win and a runner-up — but the sequence has deteriorated to a 7 most recently. Nigel Tinkler's yard carries no hot-trainer signal, and the booking of Alex Jary (claiming three pounds) is not the high-confidence move you'd see if this were a yard going to town. The 9/1 price reflects that he's respected but not feared. Watch.
Form figures: 1-2417
Magic Boy won two starts back and has experience of today's trip and going in his favour, but a seventh last time out tempers enthusiasm, and carrying 134 lb from stall 14 adds to the challenge for this mid-division type.
Anaisa is a three-year-old from Tim Easterby — who runs three horses in this race — and carries a tongue tie. The one Ripon win is noted, but the form of 9-4546 shows consistent mid-field finishes rather than a horse building toward a win. Easterby's market attention in this race is not obviously on Anaisa. At 22/1, insufficient reason to get involved.
Form figures: 9-4546
Winless in her last five starts, Anaisa nonetheless brings distance and going experience into this, and a rating of 84 suggests she holds strong claims on form — the worry is a trainer firing at just 5% over the past fortnight.
Go Vince Go is the shortest price in the field with a MARKET_MOVE signal, and Easterby's yard is always capable of placing a three-year-old well in a field of older handicappers. The form figures — 438043 — are workmanlike rather than striking, and OR 78 puts him near the ceiling of this field. The money may be ahead of the public evidence here; worth watching to see if the market shortens him further before the off.
Form figures: 438043
Third last time out, and a fourth two starts back, Go Vince Go arrives on a handy 22-day turnaround with experience over today's trip and going; winless in his last six starts, but our ratings just about place him top of this 20-runner field despite a trainer out of form.
Emperor Caradoc has the sole MARKET_MOVE signal in the field that is not paired with any other obvious flag — meaning the money coming for him is unexplained by public-facing data, which is precisely the kind of steamer that rewards closer inspection at 18/1. Paul Midgley also saddles Grant Wood in this race, which is worth noting: when a trainer runs two in the same handicap, one is typically the preferred runner, and the presence of a market move on Caradoc — not on Grant Wood — suggests Midgley's yard may favour him today. A seven-year-old rated 74, he sits in the middle of the handicap range and is not without chance if the money is informed.
Form figures: 356244
Emperor Caradoc has been winless in his last six starts, with a pair of fourths in his most recent outings doing little to inspire confidence, and ranked fifteenth of twenty on our figures he faces a stiff ask here; he has run over today's trip and going before, and ten days since his last run leaves him fit enough.
Dorney Lake's form of 571201 ends in a 1 — a win most recently — which is genuinely interesting. But no signals fire for trainer Liam Bailey, Billy Garritty carries no hot-jockey flag, and there is no course form at Ripon to anchor the case. A recent winner at 16/1 is always worth a moment's thought, but without any supporting signal in a 20-runner field, the ratio of risk to evidence doesn't work.
Form figures: 571201
Dorney Lake has shown he can win at this level, with a victory last time out and a second three starts back, but ranked 18 of 20 on our figures he faces a stiff task, and 131 lb from stall 20 adds further complication; experience over today's trip and going is the one genuine plus.
Mister Sox has won at Ripon before (one recorded course win), which is a positive marker, but the form of 032005 features two zero-placed runs in the last six outings. Sean Kirrane is a competent jockey but no hot-jockey flag fires here. Easterby's best chance in the race is elsewhere. Oppose at 16/1.
Form figures: 032005
Mister Sox is winless in his last six starts, though a second and a third in recent outings show he retains some ability; he has run over today's distance and going before, arrives on a quick turnaround of ten days, but connections saddle him from a trainer operating at just five per cent recently, which is a concern.
Tolstoy's form sequence of 7-5400 ends in two consecutive zeros — there is no evidence of a horse about to turn it around in a competitive 20-runner Class 4 sprint. Brian Ellison's yard fires no hot-trainer signal, Ben Robinson has no hot-jockey flag, and the OR 72 sits near the bottom of the field. Nothing to recommend here at 18/1.
Form figures: 7-5400
Winless in his last five starts, Tolstoy has experience of today's trip and conditions but his two most recent runs ended in unplaced efforts, and carrying 130 lb from stall 12 offers no easy route back into contention.
Who Wants Me won back-to-back (the 11 in 4-6110) at some point recently, but the last run was a 0 — a flat effort that raises questions about whether the winning spell was a temporary peak. Iain Jardine's yard is at 14% last 30 days (8/57), which is a modest signal at best. At 18/1 with the p headgear retained and a trailing zero in the form, this is an oppose.
Form figures: 4-6110
She ran unplaced last time out after back-to-back wins two and three starts back, and ranked 19 of 20 on our figures she faces a stiff ask here, though experience over today's trip and going, plus a return after 22 days, offer slim encouragement.
Vince L'Amour has won at Ripon twice and carries tongue tie and blinkers, suggesting Tim Easterby is working hard to find the right setup. But the form sequence of 067902 is wildly inconsistent — a nine, a zero, and a seven are not the figures of a horse building toward something. Easterby has three runners here; Vince L'Amour is not the one drawing the obvious attention. Tongue tie retained; worth a watch if the market shortens him meaningfully.
Form figures: 067902
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 17th of 20 on our figures, Vince L'Amour faces a stiff task, with his trainer striking at just 5% recently; a runner-up effort last time and experience over today's trip and going offer slim encouragement.
Beyond Borders shows a slightly improving form sequence — 761265 — which at least shows movement in the right direction. But no signals fire, there is no course form, and the OR of 71 puts her at the lower end of the handicap. Tutty runs two horses here; the course specialist is Mark's Choice. Beyond Borders looks like the second string.
Form figures: 761265
Educating Rita is priced like a horse the market respects, but the form — 530-03 — doesn't point clearly toward a win today. Philip Kirby's yard carries no hot-trainer signal, and Cam Hardie is a competent rider but is not in the kind of form that makes the booking stand out. The 9/1 may reflect a yard reputation more than current evidence. Watch rather than commit.
Form figures: 530-03
Winless in her last five starts but has shown flashes, with a third last time out and a third four starts back keeping her honest; she has run over today's trip and going, and 128 lb from stall two is manageable, though a rating of 79 suggests she sits mid-pack on ability.
Ten prior wins at Ripon is not a stat you ignore, even on a ten-year-old rated 67. Mark's Choice knows this track intimately, and Gemma Tutty — who also trains Beyond Borders in this field — is not a yard sending runners without purpose. Jason Watson's 21% strike rate last 30 days (11/53) is a genuinely hot spell for a jockey of his experience, and a trainer-jockey combination where both components are live adds credibility to the booking. At 18/1, the each-way terms on a field this size make the place return valuable enough to justify a stake on pure course familiarity alone.
Form figures: 062436
Last run: 15 Aug 2026
Winless in his last six starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Mark's Choice faces a stiff ask from stall 17 carrying 125 lb, though he has run over today's distance and going before and shaped with some promise when third two starts back.
LLaMa's four to follow on the ratings ladder. The highest in each row pulls the page-gold treatment.
| Rank | Horse | OFR | RPR | TS | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 8 Roberto Caro | 76 | 82 | 84 | 7th / 20 |
| #2 | 20 Mark's Choice | 67 | 67 | 74 | 2nd |
| #3 | 12 Emperor Caradoc | 74 | 76 | 85 | 10th / 20 |
| #4 | 3 Glory Hyde | 78 | 77 | 72 | 4th / 20 |
Saddle-cloth numbers below — tap any stall to jump straight to the horse's capsule.
In a 20-runner Class 4 with no spotlight ratings and a field where half the runners carry no live signal whatsoever, the approach has to be disciplined: follow the evidence that exists rather than guessing at what doesn't. Roberto Caro carries the single strongest combination of live signals in the race — a 29% jockey and a 23% trainer working in tandem — and 14/1 is the price that makes the case compelling rather than marginal. Back him to win and combine with Mark's Choice each-way for the course expert angle at 18/1. Glory Hyde provides the place insurance if the anchor slips, and Emperor Caradoc's unexplained market move earns a small interest at 18/1 for those who trust the money. Leave the rest alone.
LLaMa's Ticket
Ticket P/L -2.50pt
Suggested staking. Please gamble responsibly — 18+ only, BeGambleAware.org.
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Roberto Caro
LLaMa called Roberto Caro at 10/1. Result:
7th / 20