Race-day Read · Saturday 13 June 2026

6f Churchill Tyres Supporting Macmillan Sprint Handicap

Man Of Vision with Buick up for Appleby's 30% stable is the data's clearest case, but Postmodern's rating and jockey edge make him the value dissent worth defending.

Off in 15:35

Course York

Distance 6f

Going Good

By Saturday Racing Editorial · 12 Jun 2026

View full racecard York · 15:35

The Fox's Call

Four to follow.

Mr Fox's predicted finish — the four horses to keep on the radar. Form, figures and a verdict apiece below.

1st

Man Of Vision

Dubawi × Summer Romance (Kingman)

The story-score leader at 9, and the backing behind that number is legitimate rather than noise. Charlie Appleby runs at a 30% career strike rate — the best trainer strike rate in …

2nd

Postmodern

Too Darn Hot × Kamakura (Medaglia d'Oro)

The editorial line tips Postmodern at high conviction, and there is a data case to be made. OR 98 is the second-highest rating in the field after Five Ways (103), and James …

3rd

Chicago Pope

Starspangledbanner × Moment Of Silence (Slade Power)

OR 89 and a story score of 7 built on a genuine HOT_STREAK signal — placed in the last three starts with a form line reading 121, meaning a win is already …

4th

Red Spells Danger

Cotai Glory × Saikung (Acclamation)

Form reading 6-2211 tells a straightforward story: two wins from the last two starts. That is the most emphatic recent winning sequence in the entire field and Tim Easterby at OR 89 …

The Field

22 declared runners.

Every horse, every angle. Ratings, pedigree, jockey bookings and Mr Fox's capsule note — or the API spotlight when the editor hasn't overlaid their own take.

3YO · 8-10

Man Of Vision

3.0 Fox's conviction

SR 91 AI rating

SP 15/2 Current

▼ Steamer — shortened from 8/1 → 15/2

Jockey: William Buick
Trainer: Charlie Appleby
Pedigree: Dubawi × Summer Romance (Kingman)

TS —

RPR —

Form 251-2

4 runs · 1 win · 2 places

Fox's Verdict Confidence: HIGH

The story-score leader at 9, and the backing behind that number is legitimate rather than noise. Charlie Appleby runs at a 30% career strike rate — the best trainer strike rate in this field by a distance — and William Buick at 19% is a top-tier combination that punters have learned not to ignore in Class 2 handicaps. The horse is 168 days fresh but was placed last time out, and Appleby is not a trainer who runs horses cold at York without having them ready; his 30% strike rate is built on exactly this kind of considered placement.

Key strength Appleby 30% career trainer strike rate
Expected improvement Medium
Track suitability Unclear
AI win chance 99%

3YO · 9-4

Postmodern

2.0 Fox's conviction

SR 90 AI rating

SP 17/2 Current

Jockey: James Doyle
Trainer: Hamad Al Jehani
Pedigree: Too Darn Hot × Kamakura (Medaglia d'Oro)

TS —

RPR —

Form 10-732

5 runs · 1 win · 2 places

Fox's Verdict Confidence: MEDIUM-HIGH

The editorial line tips Postmodern at high conviction, and there is a data case to be made. OR 98 is the second-highest rating in the field after Five Ways (103), and James Doyle at 20% career strike rate is the highest jockey strike rate among all riders here. The form reads 10-732 which looks a touch patchy, but the horse was placed last time and arrives 99 days fresh — similar profile to Man Of Vision but with a superior official rating by 8lb over the anchor. The concern is the form line shows a winner then a dip; at OR 98 carrying 9-4, this horse needs everything to click. That is an each-way proposition, not a win-only conviction.

Key strength OR 98 — second highest in field
Expected improvement Medium
Track suitability Unclear
AI win chance 99%

3YO · 8-9

Chicago Pope

3.0 Fox's conviction

SR 95 AI rating

SP 17/2 Current

▲ Drifter — out from 8/1 → 17/2

Jockey: Connor Beasley
Trainer: J P Murtagh
Pedigree: Starspangledbanner × Moment Of Silence (Slade Power)

TS —

RPR —

Form 501-21

5 runs · 2 wins · 1 place

Fox's Verdict Confidence: LOW

OR 89 and a story score of 7 built on a genuine HOT_STREAK signal — placed in the last three starts with a form line reading 121, meaning a win is already in the recent sequence. J P Murtagh's runner carrying 8-9 is lightly weighted compared to the principals, and Connor Beasley at 16% is a capable northern jockey who picks his spots. At a likely double-figure price in a wide-open 22-runner heat, the combination of a horse coming into form off low weight is the classic each-way overlay. The trainer signal is absent beyond Murtagh's name, but the form trajectory is the loudest drum in the lower half of this field.

Key strength HOT_STREAK: placed last 3, including a win
Expected improvement High
Track suitability Unclear
AI win chance 99%

3YO · 8-9

Red Spells Danger

3.0 Fox's conviction

SR 95 AI rating

SP 11/2 Current

▲ Drifter — out from 9/2 → 5/1

Jockey: David Allan
Trainer: Tim Easterby
Pedigree: Cotai Glory × Saikung (Acclamation)

TS —

RPR —

Form 6-2211

5 runs · 2 wins · 2 places

Fox's Verdict Confidence: MEDIUM

Form reading 6-2211 tells a straightforward story: two wins from the last two starts. That is the most emphatic recent winning sequence in the entire field and Tim Easterby at OR 89 with 8-9 on his back is not overburdened. David Allan is a dependable northern jockey who knows Easterby's horses well. If the anchor Man Of Vision disappoints — perhaps finding 168 days too sharp — Red Spells Danger's current form makes him the horse most likely to fill the frame regardless. A HOT_STREAK signal of placed in last three starts understates what is actually two consecutive wins; the data entry is conservative and the form is not.

Key strength Won last 2 starts — 6-2211 form
Expected improvement High
Track suitability Unclear
AI win chance 99%

3YO · 8-3

Kind Touch

2.0 Fox's conviction

SR 71 AI rating

SP 28/1 Current

▲ Drifter — out from 22/1 → 25/1

Jockey: Cam Hardie
Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Pedigree: Kodi Bear × Qalahari (Bahri)

TS —

RPR —

Form 12-3

3 runs · 1 win · 2 places

Fox's Verdict Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW

Three placed runs in sequence at OR 83 — could outrun a big price.

Key strength Three placed runs in sequence at OR 83 — could outrun a big
Expected improvement High
Track suitability Unclear
AI win chance 99%

3YO · 8-5

Golden Brown

2.0 Fox's conviction

SR 81 AI rating

SP 16/1 Current

Jockey: Lauren Young(5)
Trainer: Ed Walker
Pedigree: Galileo Gold × Dark Acclamation (Acclamation)

TS —

RPR —

Form 602-21

5 runs · 1 win · 2 places

Fox's Verdict Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW

Placed last 3 starts including a win, but 5lb claim may be tested here.

Key strength Placed last 3 starts including a win, but 5lb claim may be t
Expected improvement High
Track suitability Unclear
AI win chance 99%

3YO · 8-12

Cape Ashizuri

2.0 Fox's conviction

SR 93 AI rating

SP 14/1 Current

▲ Drifter — out from 11/1 → 12/1

Jockey: Jason Hart
Trainer: John & Sean Quinn
Pedigree: St Mark's Basilica × Muravka (High Chaparral)

TS —

RPR —

Form 152-1

4 runs · 2 wins · 1 place

Fox's Verdict Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW

OR 92, form 152-1 — won last start but zero signals fired, needs more.

Key strength OR 92, form 152-1 — won last start but zero signals fired, n
Expected improvement Low
Track suitability Unclear
AI win chance 99%

3YO · 8-6

Ruby's Angel

2.0 Fox's conviction

SR 80 AI rating

SP 18/1 Current

▲ Drifter — out from 16/1 → 18/1

Jockey: William Pyle
Trainer: Hugo Palmer
Pedigree: Starman × Angel Meadow (Mayson)

TS —

RPR —

Form 414-21

5 runs · 2 wins · 1 place

Fox's Verdict Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW

Course winner, placed last time — not without a case at a price.

Key strength Course winner, placed last time — not without a case at a pr
Expected improvement Low
Track suitability Likely
AI win chance 99%

3YO · 8-5

Thunder Call

3.0 Fox's conviction

SR 93 AI rating

SP 9/2 Current

▲ Drifter — out from 7/2 → 4/1

Jockey: Zac Lloyd
Trainer: William Haggas
Pedigree: Pinatubo × Diala (Iffraaj)

TS —

RPR —

Form 02-1

3 runs · 1 win · 1 place

Fox's Verdict Confidence: MEDIUM

Won last start, Haggas 22% SR — but only one run, unknown quantity.

Key strength Won last start, Haggas 22% SR — but only one run, unknown qu
Expected improvement Medium
Track suitability Unclear
AI win chance 99%

3YO · 8-5

Back To Me

2.0 Fox's conviction

SR 70 AI rating

SP 80/1 Current

Jockey: Andrew Mullen
Trainer: Ben Haslam
Pedigree: Magna Grecia × Nazaaha (Shamardal)

TS —

RPR —

Form 01-162

5 runs · 2 wins · 1 place

Fox's Verdict Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW

Form 01-162 shows consistency but no signal fired — needs a marker.

Key strength Form 01-162 shows consistency but no signal fired — needs a
Expected improvement Low
Track suitability Unclear
AI win chance 99%

3YO · 8-10

Underwriter

2.0 Fox's conviction

SR 68 AI rating

SP 66/1 Current

Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Trainer: Archie Watson
Pedigree: Mehmas × Zaur's Heart (No Nay Never)

TS —

RPR —

Form 0189-8

5 runs · 1 win · 0 places

Fox's Verdict Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW

Fallon 21% SR is loud but form 0189-8 does not support trust yet.

Key strength Fallon 21% SR is loud but form 0189-8 does not support trust
Expected improvement Medium
Track suitability Unclear
AI win chance 99%

3YO · 8-9 · T

Silent Strike

2.0 Fox's conviction

SR 74 AI rating

SP 33/1 Current

▲ Drifter — out from 22/1 → 28/1

Jockey: Oisin McSweeney
Trainer: Andrew Balding
Pedigree: Mehmas × Refusetolisten (Clodovil)

TS —

RPR —

Form 2120

4 runs · 1 win · 2 places

Fox's Verdict Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW

Tongue-tie fitted, Balding 19% SR — possible hider but 0 last time.

Key strength Tongue-tie fitted, Balding 19% SR — possible hider but 0 las
Expected improvement Medium
Track suitability Unclear
AI win chance 99%

3YO · 9-9

Five Ways

1.0 Fox's conviction

SR 79 AI rating

SP 25/1 Current

Jockey: Jason Watson
Trainer: Andrew Balding
Pedigree: Kameko × Rosie Briar (Mayson)

TS —

RPR —

Form 114-75

5 runs · 2 wins · 0 places

Fox's Verdict Confidence: LOW

OR 103 is top weight but form 114-75 is clearly going the wrong way.

Key strength OR 103 is top weight but form 114-75 is clearly going the wr
Expected improvement Medium
Track suitability Unclear
AI win chance 99%

3YO · 9-6

Super Soldier

2.0 Fox's conviction

SR 68 AI rating

SP 50/1 Current

Jockey: Clifford Lee
Trainer: K R Burke
Pedigree: Dark Angel × First Party (Royal Applause)

TS —

RPR —

Form 2794-0

5 runs · 0 wins · 1 place

Fox's Verdict Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW

OR 100 and form 2794-0 — a zero last time at big weight is a red flag.

Key strength OR 100 and form 2794-0 — a zero last time at big weight is a
Expected improvement Medium
Track suitability Unclear
AI win chance 99%

3YO · 8-8

First Legion

2.0 Fox's conviction

SR 68 AI rating

SP 16/1 Current

▼ Steamer — shortened from 22/1 → 16/1

Jockey: Shane Foley
Trainer: Richard Hannon
Pedigree: Mehmas × Navette (Invincible Spirit)

TS —

RPR —

Form 3-6454

5 runs · 0 wins · 1 place

Fox's Verdict Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW

Course winner but form 3-6454 — has not threatened to win in a while.

Key strength Course winner but form 3-6454 — has not threatened to win in
Expected improvement Low
Track suitability Likely
AI win chance 99%

3YO · 8-5

Fortification

3.0 Fox's conviction

SR 90 AI rating

SP 17/2 Current

▲ Drifter — out from 15/2 → 17/2

Jockey: Joanna Mason
Trainer: Brian Ellison
Pedigree: Mehmas × Shumookhi (Society Rock)

TS —

RPR —

Form -32414

5 runs · 1 win · 2 places

Fox's Verdict Confidence: MEDIUM

Course winner but -32414 — fourth last start, not threatening to win.

Key strength Course winner but -32414 — fourth last start, not threatenin
Expected improvement Low
Track suitability Likely
AI win chance 99%

3YO · 8-13

Advertised

2.0 Fox's conviction

SR 81 AI rating

SP 11/1 Current

Jockey: Oliver Stammers
Trainer: Grant Tuer
Pedigree: Advertise × Miss Carbonia (Lilbourne Lad)

TS —

RPR —

Form 014-29

5 runs · 1 win · 1 place

Fox's Verdict Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW

Form 014-29 and zero signals — nothing here to argue a case with.

Key strength Form 014-29 and zero signals — nothing here to argue a case
Expected improvement Low
Track suitability Unclear
AI win chance 99%

3YO · 8-12

Boston Dan

1.0 Fox's conviction

SR 67 AI rating

SP 66/1 Current

Jockey: Oisin Orr
Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Pedigree: Ardad × Blondikova (Pivotal)

TS —

RPR —

Form 027-90

5 runs · 0 wins · 1 place

Fox's Verdict Confidence: LOW

Form 027-90 includes a blank last time — opposition piling up fast.

Key strength Form 027-90 includes a blank last time — opposition piling u
Expected improvement Low
Track suitability Unclear
AI win chance 99%

3YO · 8-5

First Time

2.0 Fox's conviction

SR 65 AI rating

SP 50/1 Current

Jockey: Barry McHugh
Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Pedigree: Mohaather × Redhawk (Mastercraftsman)

TS —

RPR —

Form 2212-0

5 runs · 1 win · 3 places

Fox's Verdict Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW

Form 2212-0 — ran zero last start and no signals; easy to dismiss.

Key strength Form 2212-0 — ran zero last start and no signals; easy to di
Expected improvement Low
Track suitability Unclear
AI win chance 99%

3YO · 8-4

Go Vince Go

2.0 Fox's conviction

SR 62 AI rating

SP 33/1 Current

Jockey: James Sullivan
Trainer: Tim Easterby
Pedigree: Invincible Army × Oddysey (Acclamation)

TS —

RPR —

Form 5-8438

5 runs · 0 wins · 1 place

Fox's Verdict Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW

Course winner but 5-8438 is consistent underperformance at this level.

Key strength Course winner but 5-8438 is consistent underperformance at t
Expected improvement Low
Track suitability Likely
AI win chance 99%

3YO · 8-9

Reciprocated

2.0 Fox's conviction

SR 65 AI rating

SP 33/1 Current

▲ Drifter — out from 22/1 → 28/1

Jockey: Jack Nicholls(5)
Trainer: K R Burke
Pedigree: Havana Grey × Radio Gaga (Multiplex)

TS —

RPR —

Form 665-30

5 runs · 0 wins · 1 place

Fox's Verdict Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW

Form 665-30 and blank last time — Burke has the better string here.

Key strength Form 665-30 and blank last time — Burke has the better strin
Expected improvement Medium
Track suitability Unclear
AI win chance 99%

3YO · 8-5

Alaminos

2.0 Fox's conviction

SR 82 AI rating

SP 20/1 Current

▲ Drifter — out from 16/1 → 18/1

Jockey: Alex Jary(3)
Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Pedigree: Pinatubo × Jumira Princess (Redoute's Choice)

TS —

RPR —

Form 14-27

4 runs · 1 win · 1 place

Fox's Verdict Confidence: MEDIUM-LOW

Form 14-27, no signals, apprentice jockey — too much against here.

Key strength Form 14-27, no signals, apprentice jockey — too much against
Expected improvement Low
Track suitability Unclear
AI win chance 99%

Side-by-side

The top picks on the figures.

Mr Fox's four to follow on the ratings ladder. The highest in each row pulls the page-gold treatment.

Rank	Horse	OFR	RPR	TS
#1	8 Man Of Vision	90	—	—
#2	3 Postmodern	98	—	—
#3	12 Chicago Pope	89	—	—
#4	9 Red Spells Danger	89	—	—

Stalls & Surface

The grid at a glance.

Saddle-cloth numbers below — tap any stall to jump straight to the horse's capsule.

Going Good Distance 6f Class Class 2 Prize £64,425

8 Man Of Vision 3 Postmodern 12 Chicago Pope 9 Red Spells Da… 22 Kind Touch 17 Golden Brown 5 Cape Ashizuri 14 Ruby's Angel 18 Thunder Call 16 Back To Me 7 Underwriter 10 Silent Strike 1 Five Ways 2 Super Soldier 13 First Legion 15 Fortification 4 Advertised 6 Boston Dan 20 First Time 21 Go Vince Go 11 Reciprocated 19 Alaminos

The Fox's Verdict

Race-day call.

At the windows, Man Of Vision is the play. The Appleby-Buick combination at 30% and 19% career strike rates respectively does not need a spotlight to justify its place at the head of the market, and the horse was placed before this break — Appleby does not turn up at York in a £64k handicap without the horse ready. Postmodern each-way covers the editorial line and makes sense given the OR 98 and Doyle's 20% SR, though the form trajectory is not as clean. Red Spells Danger is the insurance: two wins from two, lightly enough weighted, and if the race is run honestly into that York gallop, he will not be far away. Leave Super Soldier and Five Ways alone — both carry big weights on the back of form going the wrong direction.

The Fox's Ticket

2pt win Man Of Vision 8/1
1pt e/w Postmodern 17/2

Suggested staking. Please gamble responsibly — 18+ only, BeGambleAware.org.

Fox's Race of the Week Churchill Tyres Supporting Macmillan Sprint Handicap York · Fox's pick: MAN OF VISION See the verdict

The Honest Record

We publish our score.

Every Pin gets a verdict. Every verdict gets logged. The Pack keeps tabs — see how Mr Fox is stacking up.

This week

Cubs vs Fox

The leaderboard shows the live standings — this Pin settles into the week's record as soon as the off-time bell rings and the result lands.

See the live leaderboard →

Mr Fox's call here

Man Of Vision

One-line read on the Fox's nap. Watch this space for the settled result — we'll add a 🏆 / 2nd / 3rd badge as soon as the race runs.