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Mr Fox’s call
Whitesnake
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 24%
Mr Fox says
Whitesnake (SR:79, 10/3) shares the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Split Elevens but carries only 9-7 versus Split Elevens' 9-5 — a manageable weight differential. The form string 773311 is the most progressive in the race, showing back-to-back wins and a clear upward trajectory, and Roger Teal's yard runs at 13% strike rate with Jason Watson (13%) in the saddle — a competent pairing. The market drift of 25% is a genuine concern and must be acknowledged; however, Whitesnake steps up one class (ClassMv:↑1) after those consecutive wins, which may explain some of the drift as punters price in the class move rather than any hidden negative. At 10/3 in a wide-open 14-runner Class 5 handicap, the progressive form and top SR make this the most compelling case in the field even accounting for the drift. Each-way alternative: Strong Voice. Main danger: Strong Voice — Strong Voice (SR:75, 5/1) is a 3yo carrying only 9-4, has a consistent form string of 266224, is gently backed (Mkt:in5%), and Daniel Muscutt's 14% career strike rate makes this a live each-way threat at a bigger price than Whitesnake.
Full result
Winner: Strong Voice (IRE) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Strong Voice Fox #2 9/2
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2
Split Elevens Fox #3 11/2
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3
Whitesnake Fox #1 3/1
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4
Rey de La Batalla 11/2
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5
The Bitter Moose Fox #4 8/1
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6
Zero Carbon 16/1
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7
Generous Rascal 17/2
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8
Ziggy's Condor 22/1
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9
Hexagonal 50/1
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10
Herculeus 15/2
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11
Beauzon 66/1
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12
Benavente 28/1
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13
Talking Bear 33/1
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—
Ash Wednesday 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Whitesnake 10/3 🥉 3RD
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2
Strong Voice 5/1 SP 9/2 🏆 WON
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3
Split Elevens 5/1 🥈 2ND
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4
The Bitter Moose 9/1 5TH