← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Winged One
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 SP 3/1F Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Winged One (SR 86, 9/4) carries the highest SR in the field on the lowest weight among the leading contenders at 9-5, giving it a material lbs advantage over Forever Penywern (SR 84, 10-2) and Almekarem (SR 83, 10-1). The market has firmed 19% since opening, signalling late confidence in Andrew Balding's yard — a trainer operating at 18% career strike rate — with Oisin Murphy booked, the strongest jockey in the field at 22% career strike rate. Stepping up from a recent form line of -58268, the latest run showed improvement and the class remains the same (ClassMv:=), meaning no penalty step upward. Both DistFit:? and GoingFit:? are unknowns rather than proven negatives, and a 3-year-old on a progression curve with top connections in a Class 4 handicap on AW is a profile that repeatedly wins these contests. Each-way alternative: Blue Hercules. Main danger: Star Time — Star Time (SR 82, 3/1) has course form of W1P2 at Kempton and a recent win last time out (form -58361), making it a proven course performer — the rise in class (ClassMv:↑1) and a +7 mark move are concerns, but course specialists on AW tracks consistently outperform their SR.
Full result
Winner: Winged One (IRE) at SP 3/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Winged One Fox #1 11/4
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2
Forever Penywern Fox #3 13/2
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3
Almekarem 13/2
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4
Blue Hercules Fox #4 15/2
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5
Brighton View 4/1
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6
Majestic 33/1
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7
Youthful King 66/1
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8
Star Time Fox #2 7/2
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9
Thinthread 16/1
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10
Imperial Cult 40/1
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Impossible Mission -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Winged One 9/4 SP 3/1F 🏆 WON
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2
Star Time 3/1 8TH
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3
Forever Penywern 15/2 🥈 2ND
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4
Blue Hercules 17/2 🏁 4TH