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Mr Fox’s call
Crossbar
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/1 Est. 16%
Mr Fox says
Crossbar (SR:88, 6/1, Wgt:9-7) combines the strongest cluster of signals in this field: a 20% market move in (Mkt:in20%) is meaningful money, Clive Cox fires at 17% strike rate, Rossa Ryan at 18%, and the horse is proven at Kempton (Course:W1P1) over this mile (DistFit:+). The form string 1-3-5 shows a winner followed by placed efforts at a level consistent with this Class 4 contest, and carrying only 9-7 gives a 5lb pull on top-weight Drifts Away. GoingFit is unknown for all runners so that caveat applies equally across the field. The combination of course form, significant market support, elite jockey/trainer pairing, and a light weight makes this the most compelling convergence of signals in the race. Each-way alternative: Breathe Easy. Main danger: Breathe Easy — Breathe Easy (SR:93, 7/2 favourite, Oisin Murphy) is the highest SR in the field, carries only 9-9, has course form (W1P1) and proven distance fitness (DistFit:+), with Andrew Balding's 18% stable strike rate; the 240-day absence is the one concern but Murphy's booking on a horse of this profile for Balding is a strong endorsement that it is ready.
Full result
Winner: Fight Your Corner (IRE) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Fight Your Corner Fox #3 4/1
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2
Crossbar Fox #1 6/1
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3
Loblolly 17/2
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4
Breathe Easy Fox #2 10/3
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5
Gilet Fox #4 13/2
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6
Drifts Away 11/2
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7
Studious 66/1
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8
Fallacious Promise 10/1
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9
Bold Suitor 25/1
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10
Get Outta Here 14/1
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11
Bubbles Wonky 18/1
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12
Uniting 28/1
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13
Warning Sign 66/1
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Musical Angel -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Crossbar 6/1 🥈 2ND
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2
Breathe Easy 7/2 🏁 4TH
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3
Fight Your Corner 9/2 SP 4/1 🏆 WON
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4
Gilet 13/2 5TH