← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
William Hill Epic Boosts Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Forest Caper
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 Est. 19%
Mr Fox says
Forest Caper (SR:80, 11/2, 9-6) is the O'Meara yard's #1 runner — Kevin Stott's booking over Mark Winn confirms this, and the horse has been heavily backed in (Mkt:in26%), the only meaningful steamer in the race. The weight of 9-6 gives it a real lbs edge over joint-top SRs Classy Clarets (9-11) and Indefensible (9-4 with a 35% drift), and DistFit:+ confirms it has a proven record at 7f. Stepping up one class (ClassMv:↑1) and running off a mark 4lb above its last win is a minor negative, but the strong market move and connections signal override that concern. The GoingFit:? is the key uncertainty, but the same query applies to several rivals. Each-way alternative: Vince Le Prince. Main danger: Vince Le Prince — Vince Le Prince (SR:83, 10/3) is the top-rated horse, carries the lightest weight (8-13), has an outstanding course record (Course:W4P12), and has also been backed in (Mkt:in9%) — the GoingFit:- is the only specific red flag keeping it from the top spot.
Full result
Winner: It Just Takes Time (IRE) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
It Just Takes Time 9/2
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2
Vince Le Prince Fox #2 10/3
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3
Classy Clarets Fox #3 15/2
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4
Tattie Bogle 13/2
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5
Midnight Strike 14/1
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6
Indefensible Fox #4 8/1
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7
Fiscal Policy 8/1
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8
We Dare To Dream 18/1
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9
Forest Caper Fox #1 11/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Forest Caper 11/2 9TH
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2
Vince Le Prince 10/3 🥈 2ND
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3
Classy Clarets 6/1 🥉 3RD
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4
Indefensible 6/1 6TH