← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Qatar Racing British Champions Long Distance Cup (Group 1)
Mr Fox’s call
Highwayman
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Highwayman (SR:118, 9/4, Wgt:9-2) carries the lightest weight in the field — a 7lb pull on the equal-heaviest runners — and has been backed 20% into market favouritism, the strongest inward move in the race. His recent form reads 008111, meaning three consecutive wins into today's assignment, and GoingFit:+ confirms he handles good ground. Joseph Patrick O'Brien at 16% strike rate with Dylan Browne McMonagle (17%) is a competent pairing, and at ClassMv:= this is not a rash step up. The MarkMv:+16 is a concern — he is running off a mark 16lb higher than at his last win — but in a Group 1 with level weights the weight allowance largely compensates, and the market's conviction (20% inward move to favourite) suggests connections are confident. Each-way alternative: Gregory. Main danger: Gregory — Gregory (SR:124, 3/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field, trained by the powerful Gosden operation (24% strike rate), proven at this course (Course:W1P1), proven at the trip (DistFit:+) and on the going (GoingFit:+), and his recent form 5/7-11 shows a sequence of wins — the only concern is stepping off a 7lb higher mark than last win, but his SR advantage over Highwayman is real and James Doyle (21%) is a high-calibre booking.
Full result
Winner: Mount Atlas (GB) at SP 33/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Mount Atlas 20/1
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2
Queenstown 10/1
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3
Highwayman Fox #1 9/4
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4
Gregory Fox #2 3/1
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5
Opportunity 11/1
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6
Amelia Earhart 22/1
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7
Amiloc 16/1
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8
Caballo de Mar Fox #3 5/1
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9
Daiquiri Bay Fox #4 9/1
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10
Quickthorn 150/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Highwayman 9/4 🥉 3RD
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2
Gregory 3/1 🏁 4TH
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3
Caballo de Mar 9/2 8TH
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4
Daiquiri Bay 9/1 9TH