← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Go Out
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Go Out (SR:62, 3/1) carries the highest SR in the field and is the only runner showing meaningful market support, having been backed in 19% from an opening price — a sharp contrast to virtually every other runner which has drifted. While DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are noted, the same negative distance and going flags apply to nearly every horse in this field, making them less discriminatory here. The trainer Daniel James Murphy has a workable 10% strike rate and the apprentice claim from Terry Casey (7) offsets the 10-2 weight burden slightly. The strong market move is the decisive signal in what is otherwise a low-quality heat where SR:62 stands clearly above co-favourites Sedro Woolley (SR:60, 11/4, drifting 14%) and Dubai Opulence (SR:58, 11/4, drifting 14%). Each-way alternative: Una Matata. Main danger: Sedro Woolley — Sedro Woolley (SR:60, 11/4) has the second-highest SR in the field, carries only 9-7, holds a joint-favourite price, and has W. J. Lee booked — a jockey with a 15% career strike rate — meaning if the 187-day absence proves no issue on return, it is the obvious threat.
Full result
Winner: Sedro Woolley (IRE) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Sedro Woolley Fox #4 11/2
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2
Go Out Fox #1 2/1
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3
Una Matata Fox #3 9/2
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4
Hooves Your Daddy 10/1
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5
Liamo 14/1
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6
Desert Of The Sea 28/1
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7
Dubai Opulence Fox #2 7/2
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8
Jazzy Dancer 22/1
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9
Spinola Bear 25/1
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10
Sarfarcat 100/1
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11
Top Biller 40/1
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12
Whiskey And Beer 50/1
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13
Frosted Sky 22/1
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14
Lily's Magic 25/1
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Glen Breeze 10/1
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Pick A Window SP
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Zabriskie Point SP
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Go Out 3/1 🥈 2ND
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2
Dubai Opulence 11/4 7TH
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3
Una Matata 11/2 🥉 3RD
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4
Sedro Woolley 11/4 SP 11/2 🏆 WON