← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Insurance Connections Best Bet Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Camarrate
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 24%
Mr Fox says
Camarrate (SR:105, 3/1, 11-8) carries the highest SR in the field on the most manageable weight, giving it a genuine lbs edge — 4lb below top-weight Fern Hill and 5lb below Back It Up for superior raw ability. The market has firmed 8% since opening, confirming professional confidence, and at 6 years old it is the youngest and likely most progressive horse in the field. Running off a mark just 4lb above its last win (MarkMv:+4) is a manageable rise, and the moderate going fitness (GoingFit:~) is not a bar on good ground. Donald McCain's 15% strike rate with Theo Gillard on board at 12% gives solid connections without a high-profile booking to spook the market further. Each-way alternative: Slaney Opera. Main danger: Safe Destination — Safe Destination (SR:101, 4/1) has steamed in 14% in the market, Sam Twiston-Davies is a high-percentage jockey at 17%, and the yard runs a placed runner from a family stable that knows how to target handicaps — if the cheekpieces sharpen up a horse whose last two runs ended in pulled-ups, it could easily outrun the price.
Full result
Winner: Slaney Opera (IRE) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Slaney Opera Fox #3 17/2
-
2
Camarrate Fox #1 4/1
-
3
Safe Destination Fox #2 9/2
-
4
Emailandy 16/1
-
5
Back It Up 3/1
-
6
Mahler Moon 12/1
-
7
Fern Hill 5/1
-
—
Post Chaise 9/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
-
2
-
3