← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Join Racing TV Now British EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (Div II) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Lucky Test
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Lucky Test (SR 151, 5/2) is the clear SR leader in this Class 4 novice, sitting 4 points clear of Unicorn Milkshake and 17+ points ahead of the rest. The market has steamed 25% into 5/2, the strongest inward move in the field, which is meaningful in a novice where stable intelligence matters. Dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) from its sole run (a sixth on debut), this Harry Eustace-trained juvenile has the profile of a horse whose connections expect significant improvement second time out. My Girl Dee Mo is the 10/11 favourite but carries an SR of only 92 — a full 59 points below Lucky Test — and while it has placed twice (Form:32), it is stepping into this with clear ability limitations that the SR exposes; the 14% market support looks more like modest confidence in a consistent plodder than belief in a winner. Each-way alternative: Unicorn Milkshake. Main danger: My Girl Dee Mo — My Girl Dee Mo is the market favourite at 10/11 with 14% inward support and consistent placed form (32), and while its SR of 92 looks weak, novice form lines are volatile and Hugo Palmer's 13% strike rate means it cannot be entirely dismissed if Lucky Test fails to build on its debut.
Full result
Winner: Unicorn Milkshake (GB) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Unicorn Milkshake Fox #2 13/2
-
2
Silent Running 80/1
-
3
My Girl Dee Mo Fox #3 8/11
-
4
Wild Mary's Rose 66/1
-
5
Lucky Test Fox #1 9/4
-
6
Pigeon Pete 7/1
-
7
Frontier Legend 125/1
-
8
Moudora 125/1
-
9
Bollin Farhh Go 150/1
-
10
Bearing In Time 150/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
-
2
-
3