← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Quaff Box Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Masai Angel
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Masai Angel (SR:61, 3/1) shares the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Keep The Gold, carries 9-8 which is manageable, and has been backed dramatically — an in-movement of 43% is a very strong money signal in a Class 6 sprint. Richard & Peter Fahey (10% strike rate, 672 runners) book David Nolan (12% career strike rate, 1,480 runners), a noticeably experienced jockey pairing for this level. The form string 430005 shows a recent uptick (finishing 5th last time out) and while DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are concerns, the same flags apply to almost every runner in this field — this race is a poor-form collective, so the SR edge and the weight of market money become the decisive tiebreakers. Each-way alternative: Keep The Gold. Main danger: Keep The Gold — Keep The Gold (SR:61, 11/4) matches Masai Angel on SR, carries 2lb less at 9-6, has Connor Beasley booked (13% career strike rate) — the best jockey in the race by that measure — and is the clear yard #1 for Michael Dods given Zuffolo's 49% drift versus Keep The Gold's absence of a drift signal.
Full result
Winner: Tommie's Angel (IRE) at SP 14/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Tommie's Angel 18/1
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2
Zuffolo 11/1
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3
Shatin Venture 10/1
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4
Pockley 18/1
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5
Great Success 33/1
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6
Falcon Queen 10/1
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7
Masai Angel Fox #1 10/3
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8
Keep The Gold Fox #2 15/8
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9
Powernap 11/1
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10
Crypto Quest Fox #3 15/2
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—
Woodhay Whisper 20/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Masai Angel 3/1 7TH
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2
Keep The Gold 11/4 8TH
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3
Crypto Quest 8/1 10TH