← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Northumbria Leisure For Pool Tables Selling Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Kaleido
MEDIUM Advised 11/8 SP 15/8 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Kaleido (SR:87, 11/8) is the top-rated horse in the field, carries just 9-12 — 1lb lighter than top-weight Priapos (SR:71, 10-13) — and boasts the strongest multi-signal case: DistFit:+, GoingFit:+, a MarkMv:-4 (running off a mark 4lb lower than last win), a 25% market move inward, and the O'Meara/Tudhope combination (13%/18% career strike rates) in a field of only five. The recent form of 225733 shows consistency rather than brilliance, but in this modest Class 4 seller that is more than enough given his SR advantage of at least 3lb over the next-best. The tongue-tie is retained from recent runs so no adaptation risk. Against a short-priced favourite this is a well-merited quote — the market has correctly identified him. Each-way alternative: King Casper. Main danger: King Casper — King Casper (SR:82, 11/2) has steamed in 37% — the biggest market move in the field after Kaleido — carries the lightest weight at 9-7, has GoingFit:+ and MarkMv:-3, and his 90-080 form string includes blanks that may flatter on closer inspection but the money moving late is a clear signal of confidence from connections.
Full result
Winner: Kaleido (GB) at SP 15/8. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Kaleido Fox #1 11/8
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2
Priapos 13/2
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3
First Ambition Fox #3 2/1
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4
King Casper Fox #2 8/1
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5
Candonomore 9/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3