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Mr Fox’s call
Mr Moonshine
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 20%
Mr Fox says
Mr Moonshine (SR:72, 9/2, Wgt:9-9) combines the joint-best SR in the field with confirmed distance and going suitability (DistFit:+, GoingFit:+) — the only horse in the field ticking both boxes — and has been backed in 12% from opening (Mkt:in12%). His form string 233104 shows a recent win and he remains at the same class (ClassMv:=), albeit off a mark 3lb higher than last win (MarkMv:+3), which is manageable. Jockey Ethan Tindall carries a 5lb claim, effectively reducing the weight burden to a net 9-4, which compares very favourably against joint-SR equals Saxophonist (9-10) and Farabove The Limit (9-5 but ClassMv:↑1). The market confidence, proven trip/going profile, and weight advantage over rivals of similar ability make him the standout selection. Each-way alternative: Farabove The Limit. Main danger: Saxophonist — Saxophonist (SR:73, 11/4, Wgt:9-10) holds the field's highest SR, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), is handled by top jockey Daniel Tudhope (18% career strike rate), and the going is within his range (GoingFit:~) — if his unproven trip (DistFit:?) is not a problem, he has the ability to win.
Full result
Winner: Farabove The Limit (IRE) at SP 3/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Farabove The Limit Fox #3 3/1
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2
Saxophonist Fox #2 9/4
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3
Prince Achille 22/1
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4
Togeather Forever 25/1
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5
Jujubella Fox #4 4/1
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6
Mr Moonshine Fox #1 9/2
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7
Habari 14/1
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8
Elemental Eye 10/1
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9
Bruce Banner 28/1
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10
Charlie Darling 28/1
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11
The Floors Munky 200/1
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12
Stage Show 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Mr Moonshine 9/2 6TH
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2
Saxophonist 11/4 🥈 2ND
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3
Farabove The Limit 11/4 SP 3/1 🏆 WON
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4
Jujubella 4/1 5TH