← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
October Racing With 1xBet.ie Apprentice Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Cuban Grey
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/1 Est. 14%
Mr Fox says
Cuban Grey (SR:64, 6/1, 10-5) is the standout market mover in this field — a 21% steam with no obvious trigger other than stable confidence is a serious signal in an apprentice handicap where public information is limited. Course:W2P2 at the Curragh is excellent, and a DistFit:~ with GoingFit:~ on today's good ground means no ground or trip concerns. The SR of 64 ties for second-best in the field and the weight of 10-5 is workable at 5f where raw ability matters more than in a stamina test; the MarkMv:= means he's not being asked to improve on his last winning mark. The 5-day turnaround and modest trainer strike rate (5%) are negatives, but the money arriving at 21% in an open 17-runner sprint is a specific, demonstrable reason to get on. Each-way alternative: Harry's Hill. Main danger: Coincidental Glory — Coincidental Glory (SR:65, 5/1) carries the lowest weight in the shortlist at 9-4 — a 15lb pull on Cuban Grey — and a MarkMv:-12 means he's competing off a mark 12lb below his last win, which is a huge theoretical edge even accounting for the DistFit:- and a 16% market drift that may simply reflect the stablemate (One Cool Bear) drawing some action.
Full result
Winner: Mymomentintime (USA) at SP 25/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Mymomentintime 28/1
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2
Buddy Batt 10/1
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3
Coincidental Glory Fox #2 6/1
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4
Happy Henry 6/1
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5
Jordan Breeze 11/2
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6
Gold Inn 150/1
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7
One Cool Bear 11/1
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8
Harry's Hill Fox #4 9/1
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9
Mary Shoelaces 15/2
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10
Aughlish 50/1
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11
Prince Andorra 66/1
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12
Apothic Red 10/1
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13
Fan Club 33/1
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14
Steel Magnolia Fox #3 11/2
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15
Cuban Grey Fox #1 13/2
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16
The Right One 33/1
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17
Thurso 28/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Cuban Grey 6/1 15TH
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2
Coincidental Glory 5/1 🥉 3RD
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3
Steel Magnolia 9/2 14TH
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4
Harry's Hill 17/2 8TH