← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
DNG People & Property Maiden
Mr Fox’s call
Almazann
MEDIUM Advised 6/5 SP 11/8F Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Almazann (SR:96, 6/5) is the market favourite backed in 15% from opening, carrying only 9-8 with a proven distance record (DistFit:+) and a consistent form line of 22242 — five consecutive placed runs showing genuine reliability at 1m4f. Trainer D K Weld (13%, 635 runners) is a seasoned handler of stayers and Chris Hayes (9%, 1,695 runners) is a solid booking on a horse the market has been shortening all week. Nemorino (SR:151) shows no concrete negatives on paper but carries a jockey (Robbie Colgan, 5%, 1,088) whose strike rate is markedly lower than Hayes's, and crucially has no proven distance or going record (DistFit:?, GoingFit:?) — an unproven trip is a hard negative in a 1m4f maiden. Almazann's market confidence, proven stamina, and consistent form combine to make it the likeliest winner. Each-way alternative: Nemorino. Main danger: Nemorino — Nemorino (SR:151) carries the highest Saturday Rating in the field by 9 points and is from the in-form de Bromhead yard; if the step up to 1m4f suits, the raw ability advantage could override all other signals.
Full result
Winner: Almazann (IRE) at SP 11/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Almazann Fox #1 11/8
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2
Nemorino Fox #2 9/2
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3
Conrad 22/1
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4
Coexist Fox #3 17/2
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5
Cosmetic 16/1
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6
Starting Fifteen 9/2
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7
Method Or Manner 66/1
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8
Bunglasha Boy 66/1
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9
Daily Wonder 125/1
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10
Boy Racer 80/1
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11
Pierre Grosse 9/2
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Isthatrightkatie -
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Azure Sioux 80/1
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Copper Dog 66/1
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Almost Okay 100/1
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Possum 10/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Almazann 6/5 SP 11/8F 🏆 WON
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2
Nemorino 7/2 🥈 2ND
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3
Coexist 17/2 🏁 4TH