← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Grove Street
MEDIUM Advised 4/5 SP 2/5F Est. 44%
Mr Fox says
Grove Street (SR:103, 4/5) is the clear market leader and has been backed from opening price — steaming in 18% — which in a juvenile maiden on AW is a strong signal that connections expect a big run. The form string 225 shows consistency across three runs and the drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) is a meaningful positive: stepping down from higher company into a Class 3 maiden field where several rivals are either debutants or have shown little (SR 103 understates it in context — this horse has actual racecourse experience and finishing form). The Gosden-trained King Ida carries the highest SR (150) and four stars but has drifted 17% and is a complete unknown on debut; market money is clearly not following it today. Grove Street's late support, class drop, and experience edge over a field full of debutants and maiden-race losers makes it the standout pick. Each-way alternative: King Ida. Main danger: King Ida — King Ida carries the field's highest SR (150) from the powerful Gosden yard and despite drifting 17%, a well-bred debutant at this trip on AW can still spring a surprise if it shows the ability its rating suggests.
Full result
Winner: Grove Street (GB) at SP 2/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Grove Street Fox #1 2/5
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2
Till Then 12/1
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3
Chertsey 125/1
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4
Noble Archer 40/1
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5
Heno Fox #4 16/1
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6
King Ida Fox #2 5/1
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7
Forged Ahead Fox #3 8/1
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8
Ahmadi 22/1
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—
Close Circle 150/1
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Wadacre Gabriel 125/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Grove Street 4/5 SP 2/5F 🏆 WON
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2
King Ida 9/2 6TH
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3
Forged Ahead 13/2 7TH
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4
Heno 9/1 5TH