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Mr Fox’s call
Minella Marathon
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Minella Marathon (SR:113, 11/4) is the second-highest SR in the field, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), and crucially carries just 11-10 — 6lb less than top-weight Hombre de Guerra and 4lb less than Orderoftheday. The 18% market support (Mkt:in18%) is a strong positive signal in a race where several rivals are drifting sharply. Dan Skelton (22% strike rate, 2609 runners) and Harry Skelton (27%, 1682 runners) represent the strongest trainer-jockey combination on the card by a distance, and a drop in class after 271 days off suggests connections are confident this is the right target. The 271-day absence is the one concern, but the Skelton operation rarely runs horses cold without strong home signals. Each-way alternative: Moyganny Phil. Main danger: Orderoftheday — Orderoftheday (SR:117, 3/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and holds a class drop advantage, but the 20% drift is a genuine concern — Sean Bowen and Olly Murphy are a formidable combination and a drop in class after a last-time-out win off a mark only 2lb higher than that victory means if the market is wrong, this is the one most capable of winning.
Full result
Winner: Tanking Along (IRE) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Tanking Along 11/2
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2
Minella Marathon Fox #1 11/4
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3
Moyganny Phil Fox #3 4/1
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4
Hombre de Guerra 9/1
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5
Orderoftheday Fox #2 3/1
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6
Bridge Court Fox #4 15/2
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7
Heads Or Harps 28/1
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—
Lermoos Legend 14/1
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—
Tommys Law 25/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Minella Marathon 11/4 🥈 2ND
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2
Orderoftheday 3/1 5TH
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3
Moyganny Phil 13/2 🥉 3RD
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4
Bridge Court 11/1 6TH