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Mr Fox’s call
Tap Tap Shamie
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/8 Est. 33%
Mr Fox says
Tap Tap Shamie (SR 125, 13/8) is the clear class leader in this field, carrying 12-0 but with a SR comfortably above the next-best Magnolia (SR 114) and well clear of the chasing pack. The form string /122-1 shows a last-time-out winner, and the 22% market shortening is the strongest steam in the race — money that aligns with the Sean Bowen booking (24% career strike rate, 2410 runners of experience). GoingFit:+ confirms comfort on today's good-to-soft ground, and Olly Murphy's 23% stable strike rate over 1817 runners means this yard fires from big fields. The weight (12-0) is a concern but the SR gap and market confidence override it here. Each-way alternative: Magnolia. Main danger: Star of Guiting — Star of Guiting has steamed 29% in the market — the biggest move of any runner bar the favourite — drops three class tiers (ClassMv:↓3) where that drop is significant, and GoingFit:+ confirms ground suitability, making it the likeliest alternative winner despite the modest SR 105.
Full result
Winner: She's Notjoeking (GB) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
She's Notjoeking 12/1
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2
Double Oban 16/1
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3
Magnolia Fox #2 9/4
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4
Tap Tap Shamie Fox #1 7/4
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5
Matching Energy 25/1
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6
Star of Guiting Fox #3 5/1
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7
Linalene 10/1
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8
Marty McFly 20/1
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Shooting 100/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3