← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
BETTING.BET Play Champion Tipster Novices' Hurdle Race (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Nightflyer
MEDIUM Advised 11/8 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Nightflyer (SR:121, 11/8) is the standout selection on market confidence alone — a 27% inward move to favouritism is a powerful signal in a novice hurdle where raw form is thin. The form figure '1' at the right of the string confirms a latest-run win, and the Jonjo O'Neill Jr. booking (15% strike rate from 537 rides) under Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill (11%, 659 runners) is a professional operation that doesn't back up without intent. Carrying 11-7 versus rivals at 11-0 is a 7lb weight concession, but at SR 121 it is comfortably within reach given the opposition's visible weaknesses — Ferocimo (SR 158) has drifted a massive 28% despite a superior SR, which is the market actively opposing it, and that drift is the key negative signal. The going is Good and GoingFit:~ is moderate rather than adverse, so no ground concern overrides the money. Each-way alternative: Living In Luxury. Main danger: Crushalion — Crushalion (SR:145, 10/1) has shortened 15% in the market, carries only 11-0 and boasts the second-highest SR among contenders with a live each-way case if the money is onto something real.
Full result
Winner: Ferocimo (IRE) at SP 11/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Ferocimo 6/5
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2
Nightflyer Fox #1 15/8
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3
Hawa Jumeirah 66/1
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4
Crushalion Fox #3 17/2
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5
Living In Luxury Fox #2 5/1
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6
Moi Mon Vieux 66/1
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—
Unknown Stranger 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Nightflyer 11/8 🥈 2ND
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2
Living In Luxury 5/1 5TH
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3
Crushalion 10/1 🏁 4TH