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British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

14:29 Nottingham Wed 14 Oct 2026 1m75y Class 2 Good to Soft 11 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Fulcrum silks

Fulcrum

SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 22%

🏁 4TH

Mr Fox says

Fulcrum (SR 152, 4/1) carries the second-highest SR in the field and is trained by the in-form Gosden partnership (24% strike rate, 1490 runners) with James Doyle aboard (21%, 1212 runners) — a serious booking for a maiden of this nature. Crucially, the market has not drifted on Fulcrum unlike the two Appleby runners: Leading Role is out 8% and Mythical Tale out 14%, which undermines confidence in the stable's pair despite Appleby's formidable 33% strike rate. Shared Odyssey (SR 153) is steaming in at Mkt:in16% and is the closest threat, but comes from Hugo Palmer's yard (13% strike rate) with David Probert (13%) — meaningfully weaker connections than Fulcrum's. Fulcrum's SR edges Leading Role (153 v 152 is marginal) but the market drift on the favourite and the quality of the Gosden/Doyle axis tips this pick. Each-way alternative: Shared Odyssey. Main danger: Shared Odyssey — Shared Odyssey (SR 153, 6/1) is steaming in at Mkt:in16%, has shown form already (finished 2nd last time out at a lower class, ClassMv:↑1), and carries the joint-highest SR in the field — the market move is the most significant positive signal in the whole race.

Verify· #23324

Full result

Winner: Leading Role (GB) at SP 6/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Leading Role silks Leading Role Fox #3 Charlie Appleby · William Buick 7/2
  2. 2 Space Bob silks Space Bob Ed Walker · Kieran Shoemark 14/1
  3. 3 Hamrin silks Hamrin Andrew Balding · Oisin Murphy 12/1
  4. 4 Fulcrum silks Fulcrum Fox #1 John & Thady Gosden · James Doyle 7/2
  5. 5 French Artist silks French Artist Ollie Sangster · Callum Rodriguez 66/1
  6. 6 Mythical Tale silks Mythical Tale Charlie Appleby · Connor Planas 15/2
  7. 7 Playing Card silks Playing Card Fox #4 Harry Eustace · Hector Crouch 7/2
  8. 8 Avowed silks Avowed William Haggas · Tom Marquand 11/1
  9. 9 Shared Odyssey silks Shared Odyssey Fox #2 Hugo Palmer · David Probert 6/1
  10. 10 Emaraat silks Emaraat Harry Eustace · Daniel Muscutt 33/1
  11. 11 Seagoing silks Seagoing Sir Mark Prescott Bt · Luke Morris 150/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Fulcrum silks Fulcrum 4/1 🏁 4TH
  2. 2 Shared Odyssey silks Shared Odyssey 6/1 9TH
  3. 3 Leading Role silks Leading Role 11/4 SP 6/1 🏆 WON
  4. 4 Playing Card silks Playing Card 8/1 7TH