← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Bet £20 Get £20 With Unibet Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Mertoun
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 SP 9/4F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Mertoun (SR 86, 9/4) is the standout on ability — the highest SR in the field by 10 points — and carries only 9-10, a manageable weight despite the MarkMv:+2. The form string 211441 shows consistent competitiveness and a recent win, and DistFit:+ confirms proven effectiveness at today's mile trip. Trainer Jane Chapple-Hyam (13%) and jockey Rossa Ryan (18% career strike rate, 2,955 runners — the sharpest book in the field) represent strong connections, and holding at 9/4 suggests the market has not been spooked. The GoingFit:? is the only real unknown, but on an all-weather surface at Kempton the going description matters less than on turf, and nothing else in the field presents a compelling challenge on the data. Each-way alternative: Protectrix. Main danger: Assiri Heights — Assiri Heights (SR 75, 11/4) is trained by Andrew Balding (18% strike rate) and ridden by Billy Loughnane (18%), the strongest trainer-jockey combination in the race, and the drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) could unlock improvement — the DistFit:- flag is the key concern but the stable confidence at a tight price keeps it firmly in play.
Full result
Winner: Mertoun (FR) at SP 9/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Mertoun Fox #1 13/8
-
2
Bold Suitor 22/1
-
3
Kitaro Kich Fox #4 11/2
-
4
Protectrix Fox #3 13/2
-
5
Assiri Heights Fox #2 10/3
-
6
Chale Chalo 28/1
-
7
Hexagonal 50/1
-
8
Double Time 40/1
-
9
Dumuji 6/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Mertoun 9/4 SP 9/4F 🏆 WON
-
2
Assiri Heights 11/4 5TH
-
3
Protectrix 9/2 🏁 4TH
-
4
Kitaro Kich 8/1 🥉 3RD