← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Faucets Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Crebilly
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Crebilly (SR:141, 10/3) offers the best combination of ability and weight: SR within 1 point of top-rated Il Est Francais but carrying 12-0 vs Crebilly's 10-5 — a 23lb pull that is decisive on good to soft ground over 2m3f. Form reads 5-1421 with the most recent run a win just 34 days ago, confirming peak fitness. Harry Cobden (22% career SR) is a strong booking, and the four-star probability rating reflects the alignment of recent winning form, proven distance record (DistFit:+), and the significant weight advantage. GoingFit:- is the only real concern, but the mark at 10-5 absorbs that risk comfortably given the class of the horse. Each-way alternative: Southoftheborder. Main danger: Il Est Francais — Il Est Francais is the market jolly (11/4, in 7%) with top SR 142 and Harry Skelton aboard, but the /3PPP- form string is alarming — three consecutive pulled-up runs before a seasonal break — and DistFit and GoingFit are both unknown; if he has turned the corner the weight (12-0) is a serious burden, and the form gives no reassurance that he has.
Full result
Winner: Torneo (FR) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Torneo Fox #4 5/1
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2
Southoftheborder Fox #3 5/1
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3
Crebilly Fox #1 9/4
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4
Saint Segal 13/2
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5
Il Est Francais Fox #2 7/2
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6
Riskintheground 22/1
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7
Matterhorn 11/1
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8
Down Memory Lane 28/1
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Somespring Special -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Crebilly 10/3 🥉 3RD
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2
Il Est Francais 11/4 5TH
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3
Southoftheborder 11/2 🥈 2ND
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4
Torneo 11/2 SP 4/1 🏆 WON