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Ethical Packaging Novices' Handicap Steeple Chase
Mr Fox’s call
Roi du Roume
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 24%
Mr Fox says
Roi du Roume (SR:83, 7/2) carries the lightest competitive weight at 10-7 — a meaningful advantage over topweights My Own Lovely Lee and The Magus on 12-0 in a novice handicap chase on good to soft ground — and is the only horse in the field showing genuine market confidence with a 17% in-move (Mkt:in17%). Sean Bowen's booking (24% career strike rate, 2,406 rides) is the standout jockey engagement in the field by some margin, and trainer Mickey Bowen hits at 16% from 524 runners. The recent form string (-42624) shows consistent placed efforts and a latest fourth is not alarming given the weight-in-hand today; the combination of weight, market intelligence, and connections quality makes this the most compelling convergence of signals in the race. Each-way alternative: Wannabe. Main danger: Wannabe — Wannabe (SR:87, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in the field, has been backed in aggressively (Mkt:in34%), carries 11-9 which is favourable relative to its SR, and Tom Lacey (19% strike rate) with Stan Sheppard (16%) is a respectable combination — if GoingFit:- proves less of a concern than it looks, this could reverse the market and beat everything.
Full result
Winner: Tell The Tale (IRE) at SP 3/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Tell The Tale 3/1
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2
Bells of Ufford 16/1
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3
Miss Pearl 16/1
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4
Roi du Roume Fox #1 7/2
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5
Good For You 14/1
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My Own Lovely Lee Fox #3 5/1
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The Magus 11/1
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Wannabe Fox #2 7/2
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Babatunde 15/2
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Saddlers Quest 125/1
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Izzy's Grey 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Roi du Roume 7/2 🏁 4TH
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2
Wannabe 10/3
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3
My Own Lovely Lee 17/2