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Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novice Stakes (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Bella Angelina
MEDIUM Advised 5/6 Est. 47%
Mr Fox says
Bella Angelina (SR 161, 5/6) carries the highest SR in the field by 2 points over Soft Landing (SR 159), and at 8-13 she holds a level-weight advantage over the heavier runners while also seeing a modest market tightening (Mkt:in5%) that confirms market confidence rather than any doubt. Her form of 3-2 in novice company shows consistent competitiveness at this class level, and trainer Harry Charlton (16% strike rate, 545 runners) combined with Callum Rodriguez (20%, 1,348 runners) is a polished booking. The only realistic rival is Soft Landing, who is shorter in the market at 15/8 versus Bella Angelina's 5/6 — but Bella Angelina's SR edge and the fact that her market has held firmer on a relative basis makes her the likeliest winner. Each-way alternative: Soft Landing. Main danger: Soft Landing — Soft Landing (SR 159, 15/8) is steaming in (Mkt:in14%), has Oisin Murphy booked — a 21% career strike-rate jockey on 2,773 rides — and trainer Saeed bin Suroor hits at 20%, so if this well-bred debutant-type improves for the run, she is the one most likely to overhaul Bella Angelina.
Full result
Winner: Soft Landing (GB) at SP 13/8. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Soft Landing Fox #2 7/4
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2
Paname 40/1
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3
Blue Point Gold Fox #3 5/1
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4
Missmisfortune 33/1
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5
Mr Keble 14/1
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6
Ceo Stealth Mode 50/1
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7
Bella Angelina Fox #1 evn
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8
Eagle Thunder 125/1
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9
Red Melody 300/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Bella Angelina 5/6 7TH
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2
Soft Landing 15/8 SP 13/8 🏆 WON
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3
Blue Point Gold 17/2 🥉 3RD