← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Lady Phillips
MEDIUM Advised 7/4 Est. 36%
Mr Fox says
Lady Phillips (SR 157, 7/4) is the top-rated filly in the field by a clear 3 points over New Year's Eve, and the market has backed that up emphatically — a 32% inward move signals strong stable and market confidence in a debutante. Ralph Beckett (19% strike rate from 1,726 runners) is a top trainer of fillies, and Rossa Ryan (18% strike rate from 2,951 rides) is a strong booking. On a card where every filly is unproven at the trip and going, the SR edge plus the decisive market support tips this firmly in Lady Phillips's favour over the second-favourite New Year's Eve, whose market has neither moved nor drifted, suggesting less conviction from connections. Each-way alternative: New Year's Eve. Main danger: New Year's Eve — New Year's Eve (SR 154, 5/2) is trained by William Haggas (23% strike rate) with Tom Marquand up, a formidable combination for a progressive filly stepping back to the same class — the second-highest SR in the race and a yard that routinely improves runners second time out.
Full result
Winner: New Year's Eve (GB) at SP 9/4J. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
New Year's Eve Fox #2 2/1
-
2
Lady Phillips Fox #1 2/1
-
3
Catonahottinroof Fox #3 9/1
-
4
Comrade Alexi 11/4
-
5
Singing Blues 250/1
-
6
Beryozka 18/1
-
7
Velora 18/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Lady Phillips 7/4 🥈 2ND
-
2
New Year's Eve 5/2 SP 9/4J 🏆 WON
-
3
Catonahottinroof 13/2 🥉 3RD