← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Betting.Bet Free Bets Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Donnie Azoff
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 19%
Mr Fox says
Donnie Azoff (SR:116, 3/1) holds the highest SR in the field by a clear margin and is the only runner with proven course form (Course:W1P2 at Hereford), a significant advantage on a specialist track. Running off the same mark as his last win (MarkMv:=) and proven at the trip (DistFit:+), the conditions suit him well. The 30% drift is a real concern and must be weighed, but the course record and top SR give a concrete structural case that the market may be undervaluing relative to the price move — the drift may reflect the 10-year-old's age and GoingFit:? on good-to-firm rather than any specific form concern. Jamie Snowden's 25% strike rate is the strongest trainer figure in the field, and Isabelle Ryder's 16% career rate off a 5lb claim is workmanlike support. Each-way alternative: Devon Red. Main danger: Devon Red — Devon Red (SR:103, 4/1) carries a featherweight 10-4 — a substantial lbs advantage over every rival — has steamed in 31% from opening, and trainer Nick Scholfield alongside jockey Harry Reed both strike at 15%, suggesting this yard knows something; the step up in class (ClassMv:↑1) is the only flag against a horse the market is clearly backing.
Full result
Winner: Jaramillo (GB) at SP 7/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Jaramillo 17/2
-
2
Donnie Azoff Fox #1 7/2
-
3
Sixty Plus Fox #3 5/2
-
4
Son of Hypnos 15/2
-
5
Krak Fox #4 6/1
-
6
Devon Red Fox #2 4/1
-
7
Whinney Hill 18/1
-
—
Department of War 100/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Donnie Azoff 3/1 🥈 2ND
-
2
Devon Red 4/1 6TH
-
3
Sixty Plus 4/1 🥉 3RD
-
4
Krak 9/2 5TH