← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
On-Course Vets Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Lauderdale King
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 18%
Mr Fox says
Lauderdale King (SR:79, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in this field by a clear margin and arrives in career-best form with a 5-1-1 sequence (Form:034511), winning his last two outings. At 9-7 he carries a manageable weight and, while both DistFit and GoingFit are unproven (?), his recent winning momentum and superior SR of 79 over a field where the next-best SRs (Rakki, Justenzia, Unfold) are 71-73 represent a meaningful ability edge. Trainer A. Slattery runs at 11% and the market drift is only a marginal 5%, suggesting no strong stable concerns. The MarkMv:+6 is modest and well within the range a horse in this sort of form can absorb. Each-way alternative: Grann's Boy. Main danger: Grann's Boy — Grann's Boy (SR:70, 13/2) has a striking MarkMv:-65 suggesting a dramatically dropped handicap mark that could make him very well-treated, and his form includes a recent win (Form:70/1-2) for a yard running at 10% — if that mark drop translates to class relief on this trip, he is the most dangerous alternative.
Full result
Winner: Pillar Of Hope (GB) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Pillar Of Hope 15/2
-
2
Adel 20/1
-
3
Connecteo Fox #3 10/1
-
4
Lauderdale King Fox #1 3/1
-
5
Coulstys Way 12/1
-
6
Justenzia Fox #4 13/2
-
7
Matt Connor 8/1
-
8
Rakki 13/2
-
9
Unfold 10/1
-
10
Mocking 12/1
-
11
Oh So Charming 20/1
-
12
Flying Fortress 16/1
-
13
Ephesus 28/1
-
14
Earthsong 25/1
-
15
L'Un Deux Trois 40/1
-
—
Ehteyat 28/1
-
—
Zuzukel 16/1
-
—
Grann's Boy Fox #2 13/2
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Lauderdale King 4/1 🏁 4TH
-
2
Grann's Boy 13/2
-
3
Connecteo 10/1 🥉 3RD
-
4
Justenzia 7/1 6TH