← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Boyle Maiden
Mr Fox’s call
Big Cypress
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/8 Est. 34%
Mr Fox says
Big Cypress (SR:84, 13/8) is the clear market leader and has been backed in 13% since opening, the only meaningful steamer in the field. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien (16% strike rate, 3,232 runners — the dominant yard here) and ridden by Dylan Browne McMonagle (17% strike rate, 1,726 runners), the strongest connections combination in the race by a wide margin. The 9-8 weight and 3yo allowance give a meaningful edge over the older horses carrying 9-12. Form of 7-4352 shows consistent improvement and engagement at the track, and while the SR of 84 looks modest, this is a weak maiden field where the top SR is only 138 (Nustty, a 14/1 drifter at 23%) — connections confidence and class of yard matter far more here than raw SR in an underpowered field. Each-way alternative: Teoest. Main danger: Teoest — Teoest (SR:90, 15/8, J S Bolger/Colin Keane — 16% jockey strike rate) is the co-favourite at a similar price with progressive form of 4642 and the second-strongest jockey booking in the race, making it the most credible threat to Big Cypress if O'Brien's runner underperforms.
Full result
Winner: Teoest (IRE) at SP 7/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Teoest Fox #2 7/4
-
2
Saliba Fox #3 4/1
-
3
Navy Guitar 28/1
-
4
Isthatrightkatie 125/1
-
5
Heriot's Hope 25/1
-
6
Big Cypress Fox #1 11/8
-
7
Betsy Trotwood 80/1
-
8
Nustty Fox #4 16/1
-
9
Boptothetop 50/1
-
10
Ard Ri Na Heireann 150/1
-
11
Royal Ballet Blue 16/1
-
—
Ossie's Lodge 25/1
-
—
Helen's Blaze 66/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Big Cypress 13/8 6TH
-
2
Teoest 15/8 SP 7/4 🏆 WON
-
3
Saliba 4/1 🥈 2ND
-
4
Nustty 14/1 8TH