← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Moulton Racing Club Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Merapi
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Merapi (SR 63, 4/1) is the top-rated horse in the field and carries a competitive 9-5, placing it at the head of the ability rankings in what is a weak Class 6 contest. Course form is solid with two places at Yarmouth (Course:W0P2), and jockey Darragh Keenan at 10% strike rate from 1,304 runners is a reliable booking. While DistFit:- is a concern, the form string of 522264 shows consistent placing and Merapi has the highest SR by a margin that should outweigh the trip uncertainty. The favourite Potters Prince (SR 60, 10/3) is actively drifting (Mkt:out15%) and also unproven at this distance (DistFit:-), removing the main argument for following the market leader. Each-way alternative: Desert Charm. Main danger: Desert Charm — Desert Charm (SR 64, 4/1) is the highest SR in the field, holds a course win (Course:W1P1), and its recent form of 311283 shows consistent competitiveness, with the only negatives being a 5lb mark rise (MarkMv:+5) and a 7% drift that is modest compared to other drifters in this field.
Full result
Winner: Potters Prince (GB) at SP 5/2F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Potters Prince Fox #3 11/4
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2
Desert Charm Fox #2 9/2
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3
Star Suepreme 11/2
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4
Astronomica 7/1
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5
Heer's Sadie 28/1
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6
Living In Hope 33/1
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7
Abu Royal 6/1
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8
Merapi Fox #1 11/2
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9
Echo That 100/1
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10
Diamond Ali Fox #4 10/1
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11
Aspull 28/1
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12
Romantic Twilight 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Merapi 4/1 8TH
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2
Desert Charm 4/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Potters Prince 10/3 SP 5/2F 🏆 WON
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4
Diamond Ali 9/1 10TH