← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Quinnbet Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Zoustar Dreams
MEDIUM Advised 7/4 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Zoustar Dreams (SR:72, 7/4) is the joint-highest rated runner and has been backed in by 11% from opening — meaningful market confidence at a course where the money regularly speaks. Carrying only 9-8 with Daniel Muscutt (14% career strike rate) in the saddle, and running just 6 days after its last outing suggests connections are happy it bounced out of that run well. The MarkMv:+1 is negligible pressure, and at Class 5 a SR of 72 is comfortably competitive. Sunlit Sea has drifted 56% (a damning market signal) and carries a +11lb mark penalty; Isle of Lismore has steamed in at 31% but its form string of 541377 shows the most recent runs are uninspiring, and at age 8 on going it has only a moderate record on (GoingFit:~) it cannot be trusted to land a blow. Each-way alternative: Isle of Lismore. Main danger: Koffee And Kale — Koffee And Kale (SR:72, 15/8) matches Zoustar Dreams on SR, carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-2, has placed twice at Yarmouth (Course:W0P2), and the MarkMv:-14 means it runs off a significantly eased mark — if it handles the step up in class (ClassMv:↑1) it is the one most likely to take this.
Full result
Winner: Sunlit Sea (GB) at SP 13/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Sunlit Sea 11/2
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2
Koffee And Kale Fox #3 9/4
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3
Em Jay Kay 18/1
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4
Dottie Diamond 13/2
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5
Zoustar Dreams Fox #1 11/4
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6
Sam's Xpress 28/1
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7
Isle of Lismore Fox #2 9/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Zoustar Dreams 7/4 5TH
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2
Isle of Lismore 15/2 7TH
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3
Koffee And Kale 15/8 🥈 2ND