← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
British Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Able Tasman
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Able Tasman (SR:84, 11/4) is the market leader and has been backed in 9% since opening — real money supporting a 2yo with a form line of 3-1 (last run a win) in a novice where most rivals are unproven. James Doyle (21% strike rate, 1211 career rides) is a significant booking for Archie Watson (15%, 1405 runners), and the same-class move (ClassMv:=) means connections are not overreaching. Quintillion (SR:151) is theoretically the highest-rated horse but has drifted 25% from opening and posted a '2' last time having been '7' on debut — inconsistent and now being opposed by the market. Status Symbol (SR:150, 9/2) is the real danger with strong market support (in 13%), but Able Tasman's recent winning form and backer confidence make it the most complete case in the field. Each-way alternative: Status Symbol. Main danger: Status Symbol — Status Symbol (SR:150, 9/2) has been backed in 13% since opening — the strongest market move in the field — and a single run of '4' from Ed Walker with Kieran Shoemark retained suggests connections believe significant improvement is imminent stepping up in trip.
Full result
Winner: Quintillion (GB) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Quintillion Fox #3 4/1
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2
Deira Moon 7/4
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3
Gilder Roy 50/1
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4
Status Symbol Fox #2 11/2
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5
Able Tasman Fox #1 9/4
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6
Good Job 33/1
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7
Lauriger 50/1
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8
Kiril 200/1
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9
Spong Hill Fox #4 14/1
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10
Sa Llagosta 125/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Able Tasman 11/4 5TH
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2
Status Symbol 9/2 🏁 4TH
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3
Quintillion 7/2 SP 7/2 🏆 WON
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4
Spong Hill 14/1 9TH