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16:37 Worcester Mon 12 Oct 2026 2m7f0y Class 4 Good 8 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Axel Bleue silks

Axel Bleue

MEDIUM Advised 11/4 Est. 26%

Mr Fox says

Axel Bleue (SR 127, 11/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field, carrying a relatively light 11-5 and dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1). Crucially, he is a proven course specialist at Worcester with W2P6 — no other runner in this field comes close to that track record — and both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm he handles today's trip and good ground. The market has backed him in 7% (Mkt:in7%) and he was last seen just 27 days ago finishing 4th in what looks a stronger contest, while the fresh form string 331214 shows consistent competitiveness at this level. Big Cadillac co-shares the market at 11/4 but has drifted 8%, holds unproven distance (DistFit:?) and going (GoingFit:?) credentials, and the weaker Skelton booking (Durrell on stablemate Top Guy) — Harry Skelton riding Big Cadillac is a positive signal but the horse's recent form of /6634- is inferior; the yard's likely #1 is harder to call, though Axel Bleue's course record and tighter market move edges it. Each-way alternative: Island Bridge. Main danger: Island Bridge — Island Bridge (SR 120, 4/1) has steamed in 17% in the market, is proven at the trip (DistFit:+), runs at the same class as last time, and at 11-8 carries 11lb less than the top-weights — that weight advantage over Axel Bleue's 11-5 is modest but the strong market move on a horse with consistent placed form (42223-) makes it the most credible threat.

Verify· #23032

Full result

Winner: Big Cadillac (IRE) at SP 9/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Big Cadillac silks Big Cadillac Fox #4 Dan Skelton · Harry Skelton 5/4
  2. 2 Sunshine Diamond silks Sunshine Diamond Neil Mulholland · Jack Tudor 5/1
  3. 3 Top Guy silks Top Guy Dan Skelton · Tristan Durrell 9/2
  4. — Happy And Fine silks Happy And Fine Alex Hales · Toby McCain-Mitchell(3) 16/1
  5. — Island Bridge silks Island Bridge Fox #2 Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls · Ciaran Gethings SP
  6. — Muskoka silks Muskoka Emma Lavelle · Charlie Todd 9/1
  7. — Axel Bleue silks Axel Bleue Fox #1 Mickey Bowen · James Bowen 7/4
  8. — Jiair Madrik silks Jiair Madrik Fox #3 Donald McCain · Theo Gillard 4/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Axel Bleue silks Axel Bleue 11/4
  2. 2 Island Bridge silks Island Bridge 4/1
  3. 3 Jiair Madrik silks Jiair Madrik 15/2
  4. 4 Big Cadillac silks Big Cadillac 11/4 SP 9/4F 🏆 WON