Richard Davis Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase

13:37 Worcester Mon 12 Oct 2026 2m4f0y Class 5 Good 10 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Onehundredneighty

SPECULATIVE Advised evn Est. 44%

🥈 2ND

Mr Fox says

Onehundredneighty (SR:68, evens) is the clear market leader and the data supports it: a last-time-out win (Form:35-421, rightmost digit = 1), proven at this trip (DistFit:+), a course winner here (Course:W1P1), and trainer Ben Pauling at a solid 17% strike rate with jockey Ben Jones also at 17%. While the SR of 68 is modest, this is a Class 5 field where the SR ceiling is 83, and the horse is running off the same mark as its last win (ClassMv:=, MarkMv:+10 is the only concern — it is 10lb higher than its last winning mark). The MarkMv:+10 is real but manageable given the course familiarity and proven distance, and no rival has a comparably clean combination of signals. The market at evens reflects genuine confidence. Each-way alternative: Noble Recall. Main danger: Tom Taggle — Tom Taggle (SR:83, 13/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has steamed in 40% in the market (Mkt:in40%), suggesting significant late support, and carries a favourable 11-2 against the favourite's 11-8.

Verify· #22941

Full result

Winner: Noble Recall (GB) at SP 6/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Noble Recall Fox #3 Anthony Day · Isabelle Ryder(5) 13/2
2 Onehundredneighty Fox #1 Ben Pauling · Ben Jones 4/5
3 Tom Taggle Fox #2 Mrs C. Williams · Adam Wedge 9/1
4 Disco Davis Sarah-Jayne Davies · James Best 50/1
5 Calli Black David Weston · David Bass 28/1
6 Jimmyjeroo Henrietta C Knight · Paul O'Brien 12/1
7 Rockvale Sam Allwood · Brendan Powell 11/2
— Love Me Jo Davis · Gavin Sheehan 12/1
— Pop's Folly Georgina Nicholls · Lorcan Williams 14/1
— Black Occ Sheila Lewis · Sean Houlihan 20/1

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Onehundredneighty evn 🥈 2ND
2 Tom Taggle 13/2 🥉 3RD
3 Noble Recall 7/1 SP 6/1 🏆 WON