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18:30 Newcastle (AW) Mon 12 Oct 2026 6f Class 5 Good 13 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Secret Guest silks

Secret Guest

SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 Est. 18%

🏁 4TH

Mr Fox says

Secret Guest (SR:72, 5/1) shares the joint-top SR in this field but carries a favourable 9-6 — 6lb less than the top-weights Mae Amor and Juan Les Pins — and has been backed significantly (Mkt:in36%), suggesting market confidence despite a recent form line that includes a drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) and a mark now 17lb below its last win (MarkMv:-17), a dramatic relief. Course form of W1P5 at Newcastle AW is a concrete positive on a track where familiarity counts, and Bryan Smart (13% career strike rate, 597 runners) is a solid yard. The DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ readings are not ideal but are shared by most rivals here, and at 5/1 the price reflects genuine contention without being overbacked. Each-way alternative: Ormolulu. Main danger: Kinnalargy — Kinnalargy (SR:72, 7/2) is the field's joint-top SR, is the market favourite with a 10% shortening (Mkt:in10%), carries only 9-11 for trainer David O'Meara and jockey Daniel Tudhope — the yard's strongest booking combination — and dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) means this three-year-old could prove too good if it reproduces anything close to its better efforts despite the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flags.

Verify· #23073

Full result

Winner: Juan Les Pins (GB) at SP 15/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Juan Les Pins silks Juan Les Pins Michael Appleby · Mason Paetel(3) 15/2
  2. 2 Brazen Idol silks Brazen Idol John Ryan · Saffie Osborne 9/1
  3. 3 Wreck It Ryley silks Wreck It Ryley Alan Brown · Tom Eaves 18/1
  4. 4 Secret Guest silks Secret Guest Fox #1 Bryan Smart · Oisin Orr 9/2
  5. 5 Kinnalargy silks Kinnalargy Fox #3 David O'Meara · Daniel Tudhope 3/1
  6. 6 Mae Amor silks Mae Amor Rebecca Menzies · Tom Kiely-Marshall(3) 11/2
  7. 7 Ormolulu silks Ormolulu Fox #2 Gemma Tutty · Kevin Stott 9/1
  8. 8 Pit Boss silks Pit Boss Liam Bailey · Andrew Mullen 40/1
  9. 9 Havanagreattime silks Havanagreattime Ruth Carr · Joanna Mason 40/1
  10. 10 Harb silks Harb Tristan Davidson · Jason Hart 20/1
  11. 11 Utmost Respect silks Utmost Respect Richard & Peter Fahey · David Nolan 17/2
  12. 12 Taygar silks Taygar Michael Dods · Connor Beasley 28/1
  13. — Mondammej silks Mondammej Fox #4 Antony Brittain · Cam Hardie 11/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Secret Guest silks Secret Guest 5/1 🏁 4TH
  2. 2 Ormolulu silks Ormolulu 11/2 7TH
  3. 3 Kinnalargy silks Kinnalargy 7/2 5TH
  4. 4 Mondammej silks Mondammej 10/1