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Mr Fox’s call
Peggy's Lad
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/1 Est. 15%
Mr Fox says
Peggy's Lad (SR:61, 7/1) has been backed in aggressively — Mkt:in28% is the strongest market move in the field — and drops two classes (ClassMv:↓2), giving him a genuine competitive edge over rivals stepping up in class. He carries 9-5 but at this class level and with DistFit:+ confirmed at 7f, the weight is not a burden. His form string '08150' shows a win (the '1') in recent work and the yard (Iain Jardine, 12% strike rate) clearly targets this race. Possessive (SR:90) is the ratings leader but has drifted 19% (Mkt:out19%), is stepping up a class (ClassMv:↑1), has been off 103 days, and has no distance or going confirmation — the market is abandoning it for a reason. Each-way alternative: Amantha. Main danger: Possessive — Possessive holds the highest SR in the field at 90 — well clear of every rival — and if the 103-day absence and class rise prove no obstacle, that raw ability advantage could be decisive despite the market drift.
Full result
Winner: Donna Beauty (IRE) at SP 13/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Donna Beauty Fox #3 7/2
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2
Fern Clyde 13/2
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3
Liveadream 20/1
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4
Peggy's Lad Fox #1 6/1
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5
Amantha Fox #2 10/1
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6
Mick's The Boy 8/1
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7
Bonjour Belle 25/1
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8
Possessive Fox #4 15/8
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9
Stellar Quest 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4