← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Niffler
MEDIUM Advised 6/4 SP 10/11F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Niffler (SR 80, 6/4) is the standout on ability in this Class 6 field — an SR of 80 towers over the next-best Fram Castle (SR 67) and Tazaman (SR 66), a margin that matters enormously at this level. The form string 901112 tells a clear story: after an early blip the horse has rattled off three consecutive wins, and Sir Mark Prescott's operation (19% career strike rate from 734 runners) is the sharpest yard in the field by some distance. At 9-6, Niffler carries a weight that is very manageable given the SR advantage, and while DistFit:? flags an unproven trip, a progressive 3yo winning over staying distances for Prescott is the norm rather than the exception. The favourite tag is fully deserved: the only concern is MarkMv:+5, but a horse in a three-win sequence rising 5lb in Class 6 is not at a punitive mark. Each-way alternative: Naasma. Main danger: Fram Castle — Fram Castle (SR 67, 11/2) has course form (W1P2) and a recent W-P-W sequence in the form string, and though GoingFit:- is a concern on today's good-to-soft, the visor first-time-on could sharpen a horse that showed a V (void) last time — if the ground rides quicker than forecast it becomes a serious threat to Niffler.
Full result
Winner: Niffler (GER) at SP 10/11F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Niffler Fox #1 11/8
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2
Fram Castle Fox #3 8/1
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3
Tazaman 11/2
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4
Sneaky Blinder 22/1
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5
Two Plus Two 13/2
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6
Naasma Fox #2 5/1
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7
Girls Night Out 40/1
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8
Thankyou Baroness 14/1
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9
Port of Entry 25/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Niffler 6/4 SP 10/11F 🏆 WON
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2
Naasma 15/2 6TH
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3
Fram Castle 11/2 🥈 2ND