← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Garnet Stakes (Listed)
Mr Fox’s call
Faiyum
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Faiyum (SR:112, 7/4) is the clear class standout in this Listed field — the highest SR by 7 points over the next best (Rebel Wave SR:93), and the only runner with a proven course record (W1P2 at Naas) combined with a confirmed distance profile (DistFit:+). The market has spoken emphatically with a 15% inward move to 7/4, and trainer G. M. Lyons (16% SR) with Colin Keane (16% SR) is a formidable pairing. The one reservation is GoingFit:? — no confirmed soft-ground record — and a MarkMv:+3 suggests connections are asking her to carry a slightly higher mark than her last win, but the SR gap over the rest of the field is simply too wide to dismiss at this level. Each-way alternative: Rebel Wave. Main danger: Rebel Wave — Rebel Wave (SR:93, 17/2) arrives on the back of a scintillating 562111 form sequence — three consecutive wins — carries DistFit:+ at today's trip, and the MarkMv:+6 market shortening signals punter confidence that she retains her upward trajectory into Listed company.
Full result
Winner: Princess Child (FR) at SP 100/30. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Princess Child Fox #4 7/2
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2
Faiyum Fox #1 15/8
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3
Glyfada Fox #3 13/2
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4
Blue Blue Moon 20/1
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5
Rion Rubette 50/1
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6
Bay Colony 22/1
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7
Noli Timere 125/1
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8
Drop Dead Gorgeous 13/2
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9
Rebel Wave Fox #2 15/2
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10
Duchess Of Kenli 22/1
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11
Qualixia 28/1
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12
Classiest 40/1
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13
Killashee Warrior 16/1
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14
Queen's Reign 14/1
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15
Treasure Rose 50/1
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16
Wild Bessie 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Faiyum 7/4 🥈 2ND
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2
Rebel Wave 17/2 9TH
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3
Glyfada 11/2 🥉 3RD
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4
Princess Child 7/2 SP 100/30 🏆 WON