Brooklyn Ground Works Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

17:55 Southwell (AW) Sat 10 Oct 2026 7f14y Class 4 Good 7 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Arabian Summer

SPECULATIVE Advised 13/8 Est. 38%

🥈 2ND

Mr Fox says

Arabian Summer (SR 154, 13/8) is the standout on ability, sitting 4 points clear of the next-best Light Snowfall (SR 150) and a huge 67 points above Graniteville (SR 87), the only other runner with market support. As the Saeed bin Suroor yard's #1 pick — evidenced by the stronger SR, the favourite's price, and the fact that Light Snowfall has drifted 20% while Arabian Summer holds firm — connections are clearly pointing here. The 4-year-old carries 2lb more than most rivals (9-4) but at SR 154 that weight concession is negligible against this quality of opposition. Christian Howarth's 9% strike rate is modest but the trainer's 20% record from 345 runners provides the necessary confidence, and the 13/8 price is fair given the SR dominance. Each-way alternative: Light Snowfall. Main danger: Light Snowfall — Light Snowfall (SR 150) shares the same powerful Saeed bin Suroor yard, and if the drift to 5/1 reflects a yard preference for Arabian Summer rather than a form concern, she remains capable of reversing stable hierarchy on debut given only 4 SR points separate them.

Verify· #22732

Full result

Winner: Graniteville (IRE) at SP 11/8. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Graniteville Marco Botti · Marco Ghiani 15/8
2 Arabian Summer Fox #1 Saeed bin Suroor · Christian Howarth(3) 11/8
3 Ardangel Fox #3 Ed Walker · George Downing 9/1
4 Light Snowfall Fox #2 Saeed bin Suroor · William Carson 9/2
5 Momotombo Julie Camacho · Ryan Sexton 28/1
6 Cercis Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque · Benoit de la Sayette 25/1
7 Sergeeva Rebecca Menzies · Kaiya Fraser 80/1

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Arabian Summer 13/8 🥈 2ND
2 Light Snowfall 5/1 🏁 4TH
3 Ardangel 9/1 🥉 3RD