← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Clubs Of Northumberland Open National Hunt Flat Race (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
I've Got A Friend
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/11 SP 13/8 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
I've Got A Friend (SR:111, 10/11) is the standout ability-wise in a modest Class 4 bumper field, holding a 4-point SR edge over the next-best The Gloves Are Off (SR:107). Crucially, it has actual form evidence — a win on its most recent completed start (Form:U2-1, rightmost = last run = 1st) — whereas four rivals are debut runners with blank form strings. Brian Hughes is the standout jockey booking here at 19% career strike rate, comfortably the strongest rider in the field, and Gary Hanmer's 12% trainer strike rate is respectable. The class rise (ClassMv:↑1) is a mild concern and it carries top-weight at 11-9, but the SR gap and proven winning form justify favouritism at 10/11. Each-way alternative: The Gloves Are Off. Main danger: The Gloves Are Off — The Gloves Are Off (SR:107, 5/1) has steamed in 14% in the market, carries a favourable weight of 11-1, and its Form:U3- shows a previous run — the U was an unseated rider rather than a beaten finish — suggesting experience and connections who clearly fancy a big run today.
Full result
Winner: I've Got A Friend (IRE) at SP 13/8. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
I've Got A Friend Fox #1 5/4
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2
The Gloves Are Off Fox #2 2/1
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3
Pether's Daisy 12/1
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4
Laser Des Mottes Fox #3 17/2
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5
Clear The Way 14/1
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6
Our Clive 33/1
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Big Vik 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3