← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Copper Knight Winning-most Horse Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Toca Madera
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 SP 13/8F Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Toca Madera (SR:100) is the clear ability leader in a field where the next-best SR is 94 (Hallo Spaceboy), giving a meaningful edge on a 17-runner handicap. The market has backed this in hard — 14% inward move to 5/2 — and Daniel Tudhope (18% career SR) is a significant jockey booking. The class drop (↓1) and weight of 9-9 are manageable given the SR advantage, and three places at York signal course familiarity even without a win here. The DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are genuine flags, but the SR gap is wide enough and the market confident enough to override on this occasion. Each-way alternative: Hallo Spaceboy. Main danger: Hallo Spaceboy — Hallo Spaceboy (SR:94, 13/2) has Course:W1P2, DistFit:+, GoingFit:+, and a 10% market inward move — the combination of proven course-and-distance form on today's going is a direct counterargument to Toca Madera's fitting concerns, and the class drop (↓2) means this is a much easier opportunity than its recent efforts.
Full result
Winner: Toca Madera (IRE) at SP 13/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Toca Madera Fox #1 5/2
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2
Baldomero 9/1
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3
Boston Dan 25/1
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4
Equity Law 20/1
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5
Novamay 25/1
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6
Stargazed 10/1
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7
Copper Knight 33/1
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8
Parisiac 11/1
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9
Hallo Spaceboy Fox #2 6/1
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10
Schrodinger's Cat 22/1
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11
Kodiac Thriller 33/1
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12
Exclamation 40/1
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13
Go Vince Go Fox #3 9/2
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14
Fidelius 66/1
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—
Tatterstall 16/1
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—
Against The Wind 14/1
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—
Fortification Fox #4 7/1
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Eternal Sunshine -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Toca Madera 5/2 SP 13/8F 🏆 WON
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2
Hallo Spaceboy 13/2 9TH
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3
Go Vince Go 9/2 13TH
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4
Fortification 10/1