← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Newmarket Pony Academy Pride Stakes (Group 3)
Mr Fox’s call
Silver Lake
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Silver Lake (SR 116, 3/1) is the highest-rated runner in the field and arrives on a stunning six-race sequence capped by four consecutive wins (Form: 631111), making her the form horse by a clear margin. Haggas (23% career strike rate) has sent the yard's #1 here — James Doyle (21%) takes the ride over Cieren Fallon on Song of The Clouds, confirming stable pecking order — and the market has already shortened 31% from the opening show, a significant steaming move that backs the case. The step up in class (ClassMv:↑1) is the only flag, but the SR advantage over second-rated Touleen (115) and Legacy Link (111) is a meaningful edge, and a horse winning four on the bounce carries obvious momentum. The tongue-tie (HG:t) is not new headgear being added for a problem — treat it as established routine equipment. Each-way alternative: Touleen. Main danger: Touleen — Touleen (SR 115, 7/2) carries William Buick (25% career strike rate, the strongest jockey booking in the race), has a GoingFit:~ advantage on today's good-to-firm surface that Silver Lake lacks (DistFit:?/GoingFit:?), and has shortened 5% in the market — she is clearly fit, lightly weighted at 9-1, and Burrows' 21% stable strike rate adds further weight to her claims.
Full result
Winner: Song Of The Clouds (IRE) at SP 11/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Song of The Clouds 11/2
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2
Silver Lake Fox #1 11/4
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3
Pacific Mission 28/1
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4
Felicitas 12/1
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5
Touleen Fox #2 3/1
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6
Francophone 8/1
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7
Patagonia Girl 150/1
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8
Della Pace 100/1
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9
On Message Fox #4 9/1
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10
Noche Clasica 14/1
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11
Naga 9/1
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12
Miss Wong 150/1
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13
Lizzana 12/1
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14
Rose Ghaiyyath 28/1
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—
Snellen 22/1
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—
Legacy Link Fox #3 11/2
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—
Previous 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Silver Lake 3/1 🥈 2ND
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2
Touleen 7/2 5TH
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3
Legacy Link 11/2
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4
On Message 12/1 9TH